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A look at The high Target NY State Senate seats in 2008!

by: politics64

Wed Nov 21, 2007 at 16:40:50 PM EST

(Needs better formatting, but still lots of good stuff here. - promoted by phillip anderson)

I wanted to follow up on my 3rd SD report by looking at some of the registration figures in the most highly targeted Republican held State Senate Seats as well as some of our own defense plays in 2008!

politics64 :: A look at The high Target NY State Senate seats in 2008!

Some voter registraion figures that support how safe Andrea Stewart-Cousin, David Valesky and Graig Johnson are likely to be in 2008!

Statistics for State Senate 35
Andrea Stewart-Cousin
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
159405 41167 73603 44635

Statistics for State Senate 49
David Valesky
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
160142 57491 54798 47853

Statistics for State Senate 07
Craig Johnson
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
190494 66400 72181 51913

and this is why we need not worry too much if Suzi Oppenheiler retires!

Statistics for State Senate 37
Total Republican Democratic Other
169859 45717 73245 50897

As these districts have increased their partisan identitiy we have some other districts to look at that the Republicans hold presently but the DSCC seem to feel are at play to turn Albany Blue in 2008!

Thomas Morahan
Statistics for State Senate 38
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
182087 49736 79646 52705

William Larkin
Statistics for State Senate 39
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
166865 61111 54388 51366

Vincent Liebell
Statistics for State Senate 40
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
177922 62350 57820 57752

Stephen Saland
Statistics for State Senate 41
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
174071 57651 54307 62113

John Bonacic
Statistics for State Senate 42
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
177257 59764 60863 56630

and these five are in the rapidly Demographically changing Mid-Hudson Region.

In Rochester there is Joseph Robach
Statistics for State Senate 56
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
157449 43764 69749 43936

and a top Spitzer recruitment in former Syracuse football star against Thomas Libous
Statistics for State Senate 52
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
166314 71198 55000 40116

and on LI these are the three to watch:
Kemp Hannon rumored to receive a Dave Mejias challenge:
Statistics for State Senate 06
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
185058 74741 65104 45213

Owen Johnson turning 79with a huge local Democratic bench and very little Republican bench strength:
Statistics for State Senate 04
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
165490 61195 52546 51749

Caesar Trunzo turning 82 with a great Democratic bench, Jimmy Dahroug currently announced for a third shot!
Statistics for State Senate 03
Voters
Total Republican Democratic Other
162528 60331 49538 52659

None of these enrollment figures present daunting disadvantages that a powerfully funded top tier callenger cannot overcome!

Naturally, retirements and vacated seats due to incumbents ceasing opportunities to advance will alter or more likely add to the number of high targets in 2008. The playing field advantages the Democrats!

Tags: NYS Senate, Voter Registraion Figures, High Target 2008 seats, (All Tags)

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A look at The high Target NY State Senate seats in 2008! | 10 comments

Good stuff... (4.00 / 1)

Always good to see who we're targeting. Nice diary.

by: robert.harding @ Thu Nov 22, 2007 at 03:30:08 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

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Thanks Robert (0.00 / 0)

now can someone teach me formatting?

by: politics64 @ Thu Nov 22, 2007 at 04:03:15 AM UTC

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I think... (0.00 / 0)

Phillip was referring to the statistics you supplied. Next time, just use basic HTML to form a table. That way, the words and the numbers aren't all jumbled. It'll more organized and more appealing.

by: robert.harding @ Thu Nov 22, 2007 at 04:38:15 AM UTC

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I know Robert (0.00 / 0)

I did a copy paste out of the Voter Contact site but I just do not know how ti use an HTML to form a table. I will look into it to get a better appeal next time.

by: politics64 @ Fri Nov 23, 2007 at 21:23:15 PM UTC

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Let's not forget its a Presidential year... (0.00 / 0)

And last time that happened, even with Bush improving on his 2000 performance and Sheldon Silver not doing shit to help, as usual, we picked up 3 seats almost by accident.

This time is gonna be fun.

by: Roatti @ Thu Nov 22, 2007 at 07:31:21 AM UTC

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Absolutely Roatti! (0.00 / 0)

and I left out the Maltese District with possibilities of Gold and Padavan getting some serious attention as well! All in a big Democratic Presiedential year.

by: politics64 @ Fri Nov 23, 2007 at 21:25:42 PM UTC

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big deal (0.00 / 0)

In 2000 the GOP gained seats in the Senate and Bush got killed in New York. In 2004 2 Democratic Senators who joined the GOP lost, Olga was out enrolled 10-1 and Espoda was out number 4-1, seats they should of never had. Padavan has had opponents in the past and always seems to pull through. I will give you Maltese can be beat but he was been working non-stop, and there will be a bitter primary down there. No chances in Monroe County Robach and Alesi always win big. On the Island Ceaser and Johnson will run and win, they may be old but they have done alot of favors for people. Spitzer tried to beat Bonacic 2 years ago and failed. Good luck trying to beat Bill Larkin. An open Oppenheimer seat can be won but would at least force resources to be used that could be used for other races. Breslin may run for Congress that seat was once held by the GOP before he won it. Valesky will win but it is going to cost. C. Johnson and Cousin's won with Elliot's help and popularity which has gone down the drain. Each side loses an incumbent.

by: noel951 @ Mon Nov 26, 2007 at 18:15:39 PM UTC

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We have a Naysayer among us! (0.00 / 0)

I really think your dilusional albeit probably a nice person.

by: politics64 @ Fri Nov 30, 2007 at 18:01:27 PM UTC

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We need a 62-county strategy (0.00 / 0)

Here's the thing: the GOP will be able to pull most of those seats out, by a narrow margin, if those are the only seats we're contesting: they'll throw everything they've got into it.

We need to be contesting seats like Winner's and Nozollio's. Those are seats we only have a miniscule chance of winning, but we need to suck the air out of Joe Bruno's machine. Winner acts as Bruno's lieutenant in attacks on Spitzer; giving him a campaign to worry about would be really excellent.

Then the continuing wave against Republicans -- don't be worried, the Republicans are still losing popularity -- should knock off several of the more likely targets.

by: neroden @ Tue Nov 27, 2007 at 14:25:20 PM UTC

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Sounds like a plan! (0.00 / 0)

I think there will be resources available even for some purposes as you suggest.

by: politics64 @ Fri Nov 30, 2007 at 18:03:21 PM UTC

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A look at The high Target NY State Senate seats in 2008! | 10 comments