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Rudy's Really Bad, No Good Day: Now Slides To 4th in Florida

by: phillip anderson

Fri Jan 11, 2008 at 14:01:38 PM EST

It's not getting any better for Rudy today. Not only is he tied in his home state with a guy who basically had to sell his email list for money to even keep going, now we find out that he has fallen to fourth place in his firewall-do-or-die-absolutely-have-to-win-it state of Florida.

A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%.
Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race. With little chance of winning the other early states, he has been campaigning nearly non-stop in Florida for several weeks.

This is the kind of epic collapse that people will be studying for years to come. Simply stunning.

phillip anderson :: Rudy's Really Bad, No Good Day: Now Slides To 4th in Florida

Tags: Rudy Giuliani, Florida Primary, (All Tags)

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Rudy's Really Bad, No Good Day: Now Slides To 4th in Florida | 4 comments

Don't Get Too Excited Yet (0.00 / 0)

This is one set of results from a robo-polling organization that doesn't exactly have a well-established track record. Note also that one month ago, Datamar similarly had Giuliani behind the Huckster and virtually tied with Mitt. Rasmussen had him even further behind.

Another poll taken January 7, from InsiderAdvantage, shows Rudy in the lead with 24%, followed by Huckabee and McCain with 19% each, Romney at 13%, Thompson at 9% and Paul with 5%.

Until there are a few more polls released for Florida, all I'd be willing to state is that right now, it's close, which is still very, very bad news for America's Mayor.

by: The Maven @ Fri Jan 11, 2008 at 20:11:44 PM UTC

i'm from florida (0.00 / 0)

i know it pretty well. rudy will be lucky to place third.

TODAY is day one. It always is.

by: phillip anderson @ Fri Jan 11, 2008 at 20:17:19 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

All I'm Sayin' (0.00 / 0)

is that we shouldn't pop the champagne corks just yet.

A month before Iowa, we were all still laughing at and scratching our heads about McCain and why he was still in the race. Things change

I think you're right that Rudy will end up doing poorly in Florida -- at least, not nearly well enough to stave off the inevitable disappointments on Feb. 5 -- but I'm unwilling to discount the possibility of a comeback based on one single non-human poll, especially one that raises a few eyebrows (e.g., 55% college graduates, whereas the statewide figure accoring to the Census Bureau is 22%).

by: The Maven @ Fri Jan 11, 2008 at 20:50:28 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Point Taken (0.00 / 0)

However, he most likely won't be helped by other candidates winning primaries in Michigan and South Carolina, and then having time themselves to campaign in Florida alongside Guiliani. These factors make it seem likely that his support is presently at its high point.

Yet, one just needs to look at what happened in the Democratic primary in New Hampshire to be reminded anything can happen!

by: Klugstah @ Sat Jan 12, 2008 at 19:11:37 PM UTC

[ Parent ]