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It's Official: McCain Leads Rudy By Wide Margin In New York

by: phillip anderson

Mon Jan 21, 2008 at 09:48:41 AM EST


Why is Rudy Giuliani still considered by anyone to be a viable candidate? A new Siena Poll shows John McCain Beating the crap out of Rudy in his own home state.

Rudy Falls Behind McCain; Hillary Still Has 2-to-1 Lead

McCain has the support of 36 percent of Republicans, followed by Giuliani at 24 percent, former Governor
Mitt Romney at 10 percent, Governor Mike Huckabee at 7 percent, and former Senator Fred Thompson at
6 percent. Seventeen percent of Republicans remain undecided. Giuliani led McCain 48-15 percent on
December 10. Giuliani leads McCain in New York City 45-23 percent. McCain leads in the downstate
suburbs 39-30 percent and upstate 37-15 percent. Among Republican men, McCain leads 44-16 percent,
while Giuliani leads among women 33-28 percent.

McCain is viewed favorably by 56 percent of New York voters and unfavorably by 27 percent. For the first
time ever in a Siena New York poll, more voters view Giuliani unfavorably, 48 percent, than favorably,
44 percent. Among Republicans only, Giuliani has a 63-31 percent favorable rating, while McCain has an
even stronger 71-19 percent favorable rating.

Oh, and he's getting stomped by McCain in Connecticut as well. McCain is now beating Giuliani soundly in CT, PA, NJ and NEW YORK.

Forget Florida. Rudy can't even win on his own home turf.

phillip anderson :: It's Official: McCain Leads Rudy By Wide Margin In New York
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I'm Not Quite Ready (0.00 / 0)
to start kicking dirt into Rudy's grave.  I just don't think he's a serious contender for the nomination.

At least as of this morning, before any new polls come out of the Sunshine State, Giuliani appears to remain competitive there (though the newspapers generally all seem to be lining up behind McCain).  If by some miracle Rudy manages to squeak through with a tiny-margin victory in Florida, he might b able to translate that back into narrow victories a week later in the northeast -- and if I remember my NYS GOP primary rules, they're designed to skew massively in favor of the winner in each (congressional?) district, no matter how slim the win.

Besides, the longer he stays in the race, the more likely it is that one or more interest groups turn their advertising dollars against McCain, who would try to make a dash for the middle the moment he seems to be the inevitable nominee (as he would be with victories in Florida, and then the northeast and west on Feb. 5).


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