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SD-61: Liz on Rath's retirement

by: robert.harding

Mon Jan 28, 2008 at 09:57:29 AM EST


Liz over at Daily Politics has confirmed through GOP sources that Mary Lou Rath will be retiring.

Retirement In The 61st SD:

GOP sources have confirmed a report that Sen. Mary Lou Rath is poised to announce she won't run for re-election in November, touching off what's likely to be yet another battle for an open Senate seat.

The fact that Rath is going to depart the Senate comes as no big surprise - she has reportedly wanted to leave for some time.

What has raised some eyebrows, however, is the fact that she will choose to serve out her term and not step down immediately to force a special election in which the GOP would have the upper hand at keeping her seat.

Rath started making calls to Erie County GOP leaders yesterday to inform them of her decision. One told me that while she wants to serve out her full term, nothing is "set in stone," and she could perhaps be talked into leaving earlier.

This is just my opinion, but I think the only way you'll see this go to the general election in November is if Rath's son is going to run. If he isn't, there might be a possibility that Rath retires early and sets up a special election. But that's just speculation. It definitely sounds like she wants to keep the seat warm for her son, but that might not be the GOP's top choice for the seat.  

ALSO: All of this would explain why at least two Erie County Democrats have come forward and wanted to meet with the Genesee County Dems in the last few days. I have a number of great sources down in Genesee County and they've had one meeting with one person who shall remain nameless because he/she is still in the exploratory process. But it all makes sense. Why else would a number of Democratic candidates start looking at running for a seat that has been virtually untouchable with Rath in it?  

robert.harding :: SD-61: Liz on Rath's retirement
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sucks that she linked illuzzi, (0.00 / 0)
who you just scooped the hell out of, instead of you. this one was yours.

TODAY is day one. It always is.

It's cool... (0.00 / 0)
Illuzzi is a WNY fixture. Kind of like high taxes and poor government...

Lorie, who posted here last night, was telling me about one candidate who came forward a few days ago. Then she told me about another. I didn't know about Illuzzi's site until someone mentioned to me that Illuzzi had this too. There was mention of a Rath retirement within the last few days, but nothi

The thing about Illuzzi's site though is that he didn't list one of the possible contenders who just met with the Genesee Dems. He basically said all the obvious contenders. And I've got good connections with the Genesee Co. Dems so they would obviously know who is coming forward. So far, I have two names.


[ Parent ]
Oops... (0.00 / 0)
I guess I forgot the last part of a sentence:

"There was mention of a Rath retirement within the last few days, but nothi..."

Here's what I meant to say:

There was mention of a Rath retirement within the last few days, but nothing official until word got around WNY circles that she was, in fact, retiring.  


[ Parent ]
oh, i'm quite familiar with joe (0.00 / 0)
who else in NY politics has this sort of resume'?

TODAY is day one. It always is.

[ Parent ]
Yeah... (0.00 / 0)
And he's the top source for WNY political news. Scary thought,eh?

[ Parent ]
Let's hope Volker (D62) is next (4.00 / 1)
Volker is always seeming like he wants to retire, but he stays on because Papa Joe insists. If Rath is going, does that mean Bruno's control over his ever-narrowing majority is slipping?  If so, will Volker be next?  Here's hoping.

there were a number of GOP senators (4.00 / 1)
who wanted to retire in '06 that were talked into staying on for one more cycle by bruno. here's hoping that wright and rath are just the beginning.

TODAY is day one. It always is.

[ Parent ]
Staying is Fine (0.00 / 0)
Even if they do not retire before the elections this year, we'll then see them jump ship if the Democrats take the Senate.  That will set up the Democrats to either pick up more seats in 2010 if the situation is favorable, or at least maintain their majority if the situation is poor.  

[ Parent ]
Either way the situation is good n/t (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
I hate to agree (0.00 / 0)
But you are right.  Farley and Larkin have wanted to go for sometime.  Johnson and Trunzo also would like to retire.  A loss in the 48th may have a number of these older Senators not running in November.

[ Parent ]
Whoops (0.00 / 0)
That's SD59.  My bad.

[ Parent ]
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