About

The Albany Project seeks to return New York State Government to its rightful owners - the people.

New York Blogwire

This belongs to you. Take it back...

SD:48: I'm Calling It: Aubertine Wins

by: phillip anderson

Tue Feb 26, 2008 at 21:38:48 PM EST

With over 97% in in all three counties, I'm gonna call this sucker. Darrel Aubertine is the next state Senator from New York's 48th District.

Really.

10:05 UPDATE:

All in from everywhere:

Aubertine 27901
Barclay 25345

Young Will would have to take better than 80% of the absentees. That ain't gonna happen.

We WIN.

phillip anderson :: SD:48: I'm Calling It: Aubertine Wins

Tags: Election Results, State Senate Joe Bruno, Will Barclay, Darrel Aubertine, SD-48, (All Tags)

Print Friendly View

Send As Email

SD:48: I'm Calling It: Aubertine Wins | 40 comments

Nice! (4.00 / 3)

Disregard my comment in the previous diary. Great minds do think alike

by: Roatti @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:40:31 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Woo!!! (4.00 / 3)

Bye bye Joe!

by: Jrathman @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:42:29 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

More results (4.00 / 5)

St. Lawrence: 6502 - 4048 (100%)
Jefferson: 13451 - 7627 (99%)
Oswego: 7579 - 13290 (98%)

Totals: 27532 - 24965 (52.4 - 47.6)

My guess was 52.5 - 47.5... I do declare I'm good at this!

by: Jrathman @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:49:47 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Congratulations to a boat-load (4.00 / 5)

of hard working New York Democrats that made this impressive, impressive victory happen.

Good Job all!

Peace,

Andrew

by: Andrew C. White @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:43:24 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Let us congratulate each other folks! (4.00 / 3)

TAP Rocks! We did it, Janet and I are breaking out the Diet Ginger Ale!

by: politics64 @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:44:04 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

and now (4.00 / 3)

It's time to remove a sitting Republican from a seat!

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:44:40 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Time for... (4.00 / 3)

... a couple R's to switch to D;

... a whole lotta R retirements;

... a gold watch for Uncle Joe and his pasture.

by: Andrew C. White @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:46:21 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

true (4.00 / 4)

but I would vastly prefer to win the majority at the ballot box than by a switch

by: Roatti @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:48:30 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

You and me both (4.00 / 5)

but this is New York... the land of opportunistic... er... um... opportunity!

by: Andrew C. White @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:52:40 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

switch pool (4.00 / 2)

Anyone wanna start one?

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:56:46 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

32-30 (4.00 / 2)

1 more seat until we have a blue senate.

by: thecount @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:46:35 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

WOHOOOOOOOOO! (4.00 / 3)

NAH-NAH-NAH-NAH! NAH-NAH-NAH-NAH! HEY-HEY-HEY, GOODBYE! UNCLE JOE

by: Roatti @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:47:13 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Congratulations to the netroots (4.00 / 2)

who have become the difference in important, close elections like this.

But, of course, great candidates like Darrel help.

A lot.

Sine qua, non.

by: devtob @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:48:01 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Who do you predict will switch at this news? (4.00 / 2)

Robach???
Fuschello from LI???
Some mid hudson dude???

by: politics64 @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:48:11 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

ahhhh, party switching (4.00 / 5)

New York, that's my home state!

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:49:59 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Not Robach (4.00 / 1)

Big-time Monroe County Dems are lining up to take him on, and he really is very conservative (although he pretends he's a moderate when he's home in the district).

by: Historical Pessimist @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:56:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

absentees (4.00 / 2)

total 4,251, according to the Post-Standard.

Still, I think odds are good they're not all Republican.

Congratulations to everyone who worked on this one!

by: simonstl @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:48:34 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Absentees tend to mirror (4.00 / 1)

the machine results.

by: devtob @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:56:37 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Shall we... (4.00 / 6)

...pick up our pitchforks while they are hot, march on to mass in Albany and muck out the rest of the stable? Naw, it's a blizzard out there. Let Unc Joe sit in his funk until the Pinksterfest or so... but then, watch out!

Seriously, kudos to the many, many who helped make it happen, and, especially, to the good folk of the North Country, who can vote even in the snow, and can recognize manure when they see it.

by: robinia @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:51:29 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

We built Darrel's site... (4.00 / 5)

...and I was telling Phillip this evening that traffic was very high on the site...a very good sign....

We've got some work ahead of us.

by: NYBri @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:54:16 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

great job! (4.00 / 2)

by: Roatti @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:55:30 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

You're welcome :-) (4.00 / 1)

by: Michael Bouldin @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 05:18:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

indeed (0.00 / 0)

We've got some work ahead of us.

by: NYBri @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 05:28:20 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Let's hold a contest.... (4.00 / 3)

who do you think will be the first to switch...

I'll start.

John Bonacic.

We've got some work ahead of us.

by: NYBri @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:56:16 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

I always thought (4.00 / 1)

in the back of my mind, that if the Dems put up Tim Green in the 50th district, that John DeFrancisco would switch parties, primary him, and probably win...

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:58:32 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

You know Tim is going to run.... (0.00 / 0)

NOW.

We've got some work ahead of us.

by: NYBri @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:35:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

ugh (0.00 / 0)

can't we please have someone else? Someone AUTHENTIC?

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:37:23 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

You know Tim is going to run.... (0.00 / 0)

NOW.

We've got some work ahead of us.

by: NYBri @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:35:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Based on enrollment of 171k (4.00 / 2)

including absantees, this looks like about 33% turnout. Not bad for a snowy February special election!

by: Jrathman @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:57:22 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

yup (4.00 / 2)

snow don't bother these folks.

TODAY is day one. It always is.

by: phillip anderson @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:59:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

What snow? (4.00 / 1)

by: Andrew C. White @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:10:15 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

100% in Now from all counties! (4.00 / 1)

Aubertine 27901

Barclay 25345

2556 vote plurality
not known if 4521 absentees are counted or not but even if not Barclay needs 85% of them to pull off this and that is a dogs pee chance of remaining liquid in Oswego tonight!

by: politics64 @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 02:59:57 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

absentees (4.00 / 1)

The Post-Standard says absentee votes have not been counted.

by: NYCO @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:01:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Makes no difference! (4.00 / 1)

The number young Will needs is a metaphysical impossibility! Pass the Diet Ginger Ale, Janet!

by: politics64 @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:05:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

the contest or "blog pool" (4.00 / 2)

should be how big the Democratic majority will be after the November election?

I'll take 6.

by: jmcbride @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:14:24 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

6 seats or 6 votes? (0.00 / 0)

6 seats would be quite an undertaking. 6 votes I'll believe.

by: Jrathman @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:16:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

votes (4.00 / 1)

6 vote majority

by: jmcbride @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:28:48 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Congratulations to the Entire TAP Community and the People of SD-48 (4.00 / 3)

I want to offer a special thanks to all the people on this site who participated in this election. You guys have really done us all a great service and should be proud of yourselves. It appears to me that this year is going to not only give us a Democratic majority, but one with a 3-4 seat advantage, at least.

by: Klugstah @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:29:07 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Congrats from DC (4.00 / 3)

Two of us expat NY'ers have been following this race tonight. Congrats all around. Thanks for the updates Phillip!

by: jonah in nyc @ Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 03:30:36 AM UTC

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Awesome (4.00 / 2)

Congratulations to everyone who worked so hard to make this possible -- what a great way to start this very important year.