SD 3
Foley 180K
Trunzo 45K
Dahroug 18k
SD61
Mesi 112k
Iannello 32k
Ward 9k
RANZENHOFER 148K
SD7
Johnson 314K
Donno 233K (180K from RSCC)
SD35
STEWART-COUSINS 217K
Murtagh 150K (140K from the RSCC)
SD37
Oppenheimer 62K
Feld 243K (150K from RSCC)
SD48
Aubertine 206K
Renzi 81K
SD51
Barber 142K
Seward 184K
SD54
Nozzolio 196K
Capanna 29K
SD55
Alesi 80K
Nachbar 226K
SD41
Dow 42K
Saland 150K
SD6
McElroy 30K
Hannon 123K
SD11
Padavan 51K
Gennaro 233K
SD15
Maltese 378K (220K from the NYS RSCC)
Addabbo 88K
Baldeo 114K
SD43
Premo 76K (75K personal loan)
McDonald 16K
* Bruno raised 445K has 1.7M COH, can he take it with him???
SD59
Volker 117K
* Konst news broke too recently for this period
SD53
Winner 138K
Tonello 5K
In SD3 we see Brian Foley out-raising incumbent Caesar Trunzo 4-1 and his primary opponent Jimmy Dahroug 10-1. Even better is Gennaro nearly 5-1 over Padavan.
Richard Dollinger, Don Barber, Joe Mesi all holding their own very competitively with their likely Republican opponents
I included four Democratic incumbent seats based on our periodic naysayer visitor noel predictions that these Democrats are endangered. We see Craig Johnson out-raising Donno in a district that now has about a 10K Democratic registration advantage and most of Donno's income coming from a huge lump-sum transfer from the RSCC. We see the same for Stewart-Cousins in a far more Democratic and African American District in a year that will feature Obama at the head of the ticket bringing out every single African American possible to the polls. Now I poo-pooed noels Suzi Oppenheimer prediction because the district is hugely Democratic but the periods fundraising shocked me and I hope our oldest Democratic State Senator is not falling asleep at the switch. Finally, our good friend Darrel Aubertine is far outpacing his low tier challenger in the 48th. It's the economy stupid that will win that district and that is the Democrats strong suit this year.
As shocking as SD37 was to me I was just as impressed to see Nachbars 2.5 to 1 advantage over Alesi this period!
We also see several of our other hopefuls in need of stepping up the pace. Addabbo and Baldeo have a lot of work to do. I only included SD6 because Phillip and Robert seem to think McElroy has something. I reported that I knew of no particular ground troops as I have seen in the Foley race and she has been out-raised 4-1 in the period. That is not to say you need to be the top fundraiser to win but like Don Barber, you need to be competitive and so far she is not. The same seems true so far for Dow and Capanna. Lets see how the pre primary reports look as our hopefuls get ready for the fall campaign!
UPDATE
The only reason several Republican candidates like Donno, Murtagh, Feld, even look competitive is that they all received huge transfers from the RSCC! The same for Serf Maltese which is very troubling for an incumbent to rely on the largese of the Senate Campaign Committee when they are normally expected to raise well on their own! |
