The Cook Political Report (sub req'd) seems to have caught on to something that has been apparent for quite some time, namely that the race in the 19th isn't exactly playing out the way the GOP had hoped.
This Hudson Valley-based district, site of a 2006 election result many Republicans called a fluke, has been a recruiting nightmare for the GOP this year. National Republicans aren't showing much interest in their nominee, Kieran Lalor, whose conservative profile is a far cry from the moderate resume of longtime former GOP Rep. Sue Kelly, who carried this district easily for years before losing in the tidal wave of 2006. Hall doesn't face a real race for a sophomore term.
Sounds about right.
On the web: John Hall for Congress. |