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Skelos Gets Pwned By Siena

by: phillip anderson

Thu Sep 25, 2008 at 13:17:34 PM EDT


So, it appears that, despite the happy talk from Joe Conway about the Siena Polls yesterday, Dean Skelos is not happy with the results. What to do? Attack the pollster, apparently.

"I don't believe the Sienna poll is correct and we have our own internal polling that polls that have been done within all of these different district within the past 20 years that indicate a lot different," Skelos said.

"You know, they use the random digit dialing. Sienna has never done a poll in a senate districts and random digit dialing, for all you know, all the phone calls could've gone into Great Neck."

First, as I have already said, I don't believe that the methodology on these polls is bulletproof. One could conceivably make a reasonable critique of a number of factors. But, that's not what Dean did. He stated as fact that Siena was using "random digit dialing" in an effort to discredit the results, results he's obviously not happy with. It was an odd tack to take, to say the least. The problem is that he's absolutely 100% wrong. (Either he just pulled that one out of his rear end or he's deliberately trying to be misleading. You choose.)

Azi talked to Steven Greenberg at Siena:

I just got off the phone with Siena pollster Steven Greenberg who said Siena "does not use random-digit dialing to conduct it's statewide or senate district polls." He also said steps are taken to ensure "appropriate geographic disbursement" within polling areas. Greenberg said, "We call off voter lists."

So a day after Skelos sent Conway out to spin the Siena polls as much as possible even though the consensus opinion by pretty much the entire statewide media was that the polls show that Dean's strategy of playing offense and telling folks that they would actually pick up seats this year was essentially DOA, he decided to just make stuff up about the pollster to discredit the results.

Did he really think the folks at Siena were just going to let him do that?

phillip anderson :: Skelos Gets Pwned By Siena
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LALALALALA (0.00 / 0)
I CAN'T HEAR YOU. LALALALALALA

We can talk about the Siena polls all day... (0.00 / 0)
But what is more interesting to talk about is how "Mean Dean" has spent his money on seats he can't win. Also, Maltese (who is and has been vulnerable from the start) has received a nice load from the SRCC only to show that he is running neck-and-neck with his challenger, Joe Addabbo.

By the way, does anyone else think the GOP is taking upstate for granted? They haven't invested a dime in Jim Alesi. That is glaring to me. Alesi is running against Dave Nachbar, who will give Alesi the fight of his life for this seat. Even Robach hasn't received as much love as others have been getting. And if I were them, I would worry about SD-61. Mike Ranzenhofer will lose that seat. Joe Mesi can win over voters. Mesi is very approachable, well liked and he is getting smarter and smarter by the day when it comes to important issues.

I think it would be a different story with Joe Bruno. Bruno certainly wasn't stupid. But Skelos is using his gut instead of his head to make these calls on where to invest GOP dollars.  


Donno was a bad bet (4.00 / 1)
But Skelos has an unhealthy obsession with Craig Johnson.
I think when the story of this election season is written it will start "Call me Ishmael."

[ Parent ]
I think his unhealthy obsession... (0.00 / 0)
Is with SD-7 as a district. Though he definitely screwed Senator Johnson over pretty good when he took office (cutting his member items, etc.)

[ Parent ]
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