I still haven't figured out a way to upload pdf in a way that I can link to here on the site Here's the pdf and here's the summary from the press release:
In a new poll released today, Democrat Dan Maffei holds a 49% to 31% lead over Republican Dale Sweetland in the race for New York's 25th Congressional District. A poll summary memo is attached.
The poll, conducted by the national polling firm Kiley and Company on October 1-2, 2008, was commissioned by the Maffei for Congress Campaign.
No surprises here, folks. Maffei will coast to victory here.
Update: The usual caveats apply -- small sample size, partisan poll -- and I don't think Maffei is likely to win by 18 points. But I do believe Maffei will win by 7-13 points. Obama wins the district by around 8, let's say. Then throw in two for the Indie line and another three for advertising. Then take off 1 for Howie Hawkins and 2 for the fact that the registration figures are more favorable than the Cook PVI. That leaves you with a ten point lead. Then plus or minus three since I really have no idea what I'm talking about. And you've got 7-13 points. |
