| People are now lining up candidates to oppose the "Bloomberg 29." (Side note: I presume that I don't need to explain that term. I've been told that the monicker came out of a CBID meeting shortly after the vote; if someone knows the original source I'd love to know.)
I'd also love to hear comments on the Bronx and Brooklyn races, as I'm less familiar with the politics involved. My initial views on the Manhattan/Queens folks:
Comrie -- Probably not vulnerable, unless someone can raise a bundle.
Dickens -- Got 28% in an eight-way race in 2005. Coalescing behind one opponent, funded with upper west side money, and she's vulnerable.
Gerson -- Margaret Chin might give him a run, especially since she's already gearing up for next year anyway.
Jackson -- Probably not vulnerable (of course, this leaves Denny Farrell stuck in Albany for another four years).
Katz -- Probably not vulnerable.
Martinez -- Just lost a bid for Assembly against his mentor, and Ydonis Rodriguez has already raised $30K.
Quinn -- If the potential candidates for next year can coalesce around one strong candidate, they probably still can't beat her, but it will be a helluva fight.
Sanders -- Wild card. Seven candidates have filed, but nobody's raised much.
Sears -- The most vulnerable in Queens; look for Danny Dromm to give her a huge fight.
Vallone -- Not vulnerable. Mike Gianaris will remain in Albany.
White -- Would Allan Jennings try to get his old seat back, the way White did? How about Albert Baldeo again? Seriously, he's probably not vulnerable |