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A Few Quick Notes On Turnout And What Turnout Means

by: robert.harding

Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 19:35:36 PM EST

We have talked about turnout today and according to Kyle Kotary, who knows a thing or two about New York State politics, turnout is looking great in the Capital Region and statewide.

From Kyle:

75% turn out in Bethlehem so far...similar numbers throughout Cap Region and State. Schenectady, Troy, Albany...all huge turn out...numbers closing in on 80%...Rochester, Buffalo, NYC and LI turn out closing in on 75-80%...
With these numbers, Senate Dems will pick up State Senate...all local incumbents look safe though...look for Assembly 112 and Bruno Senate seat to be really close given this kind of turnout. Gillibrand will win comfortably and Tonko in a landslide.

Could SD-43 with Mike Russo as the Democratic candidate be that surprise I was talking about earlier? Maybe.

High turnout is a good thing. We knew turnout was going to be high. But we didn't know how high. This turnout is historic, not only for New York, but for the United States as a whole. With turnout numbers like this throughout the country, a lot of races are in play.

robert.harding :: A Few Quick Notes On Turnout And What Turnout Means

Tags: Turnout, 2008 Elections, Barack Obama, New York State Senate, voting, voters, (All Tags)

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A Few Quick Notes On Turnout And What Turnout Means | 2 comments

i like surprises (0.00 / 0)

and as i said to a cautious pro via email earlier, those people aren't standing in line to vote for McCain and caribou barbie. if we can get those folks to vote all the way down the ticket - and let's not forget how many first time voters we are talking about here, voters that have never split a ticket in their lives - then i think we may be looking at some really, really awesome surprises tonight.

my guess is that maltese, trunzo and robach are most likely screwed. keep an eye on padavan, alesi, volker, seward and the russo, barber and mesi races. maybe even some races we haven't even thought about. when people start throwing around turnout numbers like this, all sorts of stuff could happen.

hold on to your hats, folks.

TODAY is day one. It always is.

by: phillip anderson @ Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 00:47:44 AM UTC

....but don't forget, new and seldom voters can be ignorant (0.00 / 0)

I cautiously second everything Robert and Phillip write above... but, you have to also take into account that a bunch of the folks unused to voting will do dumb stuff. Our pollwatcher was talking about all the people who were coming close to breaking curtains trying to close them wrong, or coming out under the curtains, rather than throwing the lever that opens the curtain and records the vote. Some of these people likely also found Obama's name, voted for him, and left.

by: robinia @ Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 00:59:16 AM UTC

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