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Kennedy calculus

by: Exile on Ericsson St.

Sat Jan 03, 2009 at 13:21:24 PM EST


Nicholas Confessore has an interesting piece about the possible political calculations behind Paterson's selection to fill Hillary Clinton's Senate seat.  I think it's interesting, though I'm not sure how much I agree with all of the opinions put forth:

Ticket balance is also a consideration. Some of Mr. Paterson's advisers envision a Republican ticket headed by Rudolph W. Giuliani, the former New York mayor, for governor, with Joanne M. Mahoney, the popular Onondaga County executive, as his running mate. Rounding out the ticket might be John J. Faso, the former assemblyman, for comptroller, and Peter T. King, the Long Island Republican, for Senate.

"That's a white Catholic ticket," said one person who has ties to the governor's political team, and who requested anonymity for fear of losing those ties. "And it's white Catholics upstate they are going to lose."

I'm not sure I agree that a Park Avenue "princess" (to use Ruth Marcus's infamous formulation) really appeals to Joe Saranac (to put an upstate twist on an annoying political cliche), regardless of her religion.  The article does go on to point out that Mario Cuomo (who is on the ticket) is Catholic and popular upstate. And I think the article is right to point out that the issue here is the whole ticket, not just the Senate race  -- I don't think there's anyway Peter King beats anybody in that race but Rudy might have some chance against Paterson (though Paterson would clearly be the favorite).  

This brings up another question: does anyone have any thoughts on who Paterson will pick for Lieutenant Governor?  

Exile on Ericsson St. :: Kennedy calculus
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Kennedy calculus | 8 comments
Not only a "princess" (4.00 / 1)
but one elevated, arguably, illegitimately.  If Democrats want to risk the seat, putting CK in it is one way to do it.

Joanie (0.00 / 0)
Joanie for Lt Gov?  Hm, that's the first time I've seen her name floated as a statewide candidate, but I'm not surprised.  She isn't your typical "safe female candidate installed by the local GOP establishment" - as I recall, the GOP establishment didn't want her and she won a primary.  Her nixing of the Armory Square sewage treatment plant was a pleasant surprise, and the GOP could make some mileage by advertising her as a "green but small-business-friendly" candidate.  Still, she plays her cards very close to the chest and it's still a big question mark where her heart really lies on a lot of things.

Sadly I must say that the GOP still is better at geographic balance than the Democrats are.  


they're not better though (0.00 / 0)
At actually winning any statewide elections.  

[ Parent ]
no (0.00 / 0)
and with candidates like Giuliani, thank God for that.

[ Parent ]
Tom Suozzi as Patersons Lt. Gov. (0.00 / 0)
Not a geographic balancing act with the comptroller also from Nassau and Italian as well but it does guarantee strength in the suburbs along with the city combining for 65% of the electorate. The two upstate Republicans mentioned are complete non entities despite Faso running in the past and Giuliani presidential run demonstrated that he is a political pariah in NY statewide politics. They just have no bench.

It's Caroline (0.00 / 0)
This week.

Confirmation Hearings start Monday with Daschle (0.00 / 0)
so this week is pretty important.

[ Parent ]
Mario Cuomo?... (0.00 / 0)
...popular Upstate? Stop sniffing glue.

Kennedy calculus | 8 comments
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