| I like Kirsten Gillibrand. I think she'll be a substantial improvement over Hillary Clinton as a Senator in many ways. I don't however, call myself a "progressive", if only because I don't believe in progress. Lots of New Yorkers do, though, and it's clear some of them are disappointed by the choice.
New York is an extremely blue state, but it's not been electing progressive stalwarts for a surprisingly long time. Jacob Javits may have been further to the left within the Republicans than Daniel Patrick Moynihan was within the Democrats. Chuck Schumer is many things, but "progressive" doesn't come to mind. Hillary Clinton deliberately ran from the center.
Within the state, Mario Cuomo was seen as a conservative choice, winning his primary with support from Upstate at first, before he became the great liberal hope that never ran for President. Spitzer's platform of muscular reform included progressive elements, but he wasn't exactly a man of the left. Paterson came in to high hopes, but most of the grousing I've heard about him has come from progressives disappointed that he won't move boldly in their direction.
There hasn't been a Paul Wellstone or a Russ Feingold, or even a Teddy Kennedy, from New York in a long long time. RFK may be the closest we've had, but he sounds like he moved left after he was elected, eventually moving to the left more people remember as he ran for President.
So what kind of coalition might propel a progressive statewide candidacy toward success?
For starters, you can probably count on Tompkins County, centered on Ithaca. It gave Jonathan Tasini the highest proportion of votes of any county in the 2006 primary. (I think he got 16% statewide, but 40% here.) It was also the Obama county in a bright sea of Clinton counties - certainly willing to be different. You can't, of course, win based on a small county deep in Upstate.
To win, you need large numbers of votes in the cities. Not just NYC, but Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Utica, and Albany. Binghamton's even become more friendly these days. None of those places are screamingly progressive, though - they tend to have relatively centrist Democrats in charge.
NYC seems like it should be progressive, but its political machinery isn't particularly progressive. The Gang of Four and Gang of Three who were threatening to tilt the State Senate back to the Republicans weren't conservative Upstaters - they were all NYC representatives with tight bonds to the local political machines. (Pedro Espada is the most complicated story of the four, but seems to have his own local machinery.)
There are Citizen Action and Democracy For America groups across the state, and there is of course the Working Families Party, who I'm pretty sure would be happy to support a progressive statewide candidate.
Out of all of this, what kind of coalition could propel a genuine progressive to statewide office? Might a compelling candidate be enough, or do progressives need to convert or bypass the existing political machinery?
The Assembly seems to be the place in New York State politics most eager to portray itself as progressive - but are there compelling candidates there? Preferably candidates untainted by the corruption or other legal issues that periodically remove legislators from office?
NYS Republicans may help too - largely because the party core seems to have moved far enough right that they may be losing their ability to reach out.
It should be possible to elect a progressive in New York State. As in all things NYS, though, it's a big question of how. |