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NY-20: DCCC Internal Poll Also Shows Murphy Lead

by: phillip anderson

Fri Mar 27, 2009 at 17:32:32 PM EDT


An internal D-trip poll that was in the field just before the Siena poll released this morning also showed a Murphy lead.

Dems' internal poll shows edge in N.Y. race

Bidding for New York's 20th district seat, Democrat Scott Murphy leads Republican state Assemblyman Jim Tedisco by two percentage points in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's internal polling.

The poll, obtained by The Hill from a Democratic source, shows Murphy leading Tedisco 43 percent to 41 percent in the race for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's (D-N.Y.) former House seat.

The DCCC's poll was taken earlier this week, before the Siena College poll released Friday that showed Murphy leading Tedisco by four percentage points, 47 percent to 43 percent.

The Siena poll was the first to show Murphy leading Tedisco. Tedisco quickly responded, issuing a statement that said his campaign's polling shows him ahead of Murphy.

"Heading into Election Day, our campaign's internal polling shows us continuing to lead, just as we have for this entire race," Tedisco said. "Today's Siena poll is simply another in a line of polls that show this race within the margin of error. In the end this race is coming down to voter intensity and turnout, and our internal polls show us with strong leads in both areas."

Two things. First, this is where I would usually throw in the caveats about this being a partisan poll and take with a grain of salt and all that. But, this poll would seem to complement the trend expressed in the independent polling so far. In this case, D-trip's poll looks pretty kosher.

Second, what the hell is the Tedisco camp talking about here? They have polling that shows them leading in "intensity" and "turnout"? Really?

That is some nifty poll that can gauge Tuesday's turnout a week or so out.

GOTV

phillip anderson :: NY-20: DCCC Internal Poll Also Shows Murphy Lead
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Even one of the Republican polls (4.00 / 1)
had Murphy up by 1. Wasn't it the NRCC that had Murphy up 1 while the RNC had Tedisco up 3 and Tedisco's internal supposedly had Tedisco up only 1?

If Murphy's momentum continues, (4.00 / 1)
he'll win by six, just like Gillibrand did in 2006.

But we still have to go full-tilt-boogie to GOTV for the next four days.


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