Nate Silver once again runs the numbers and finds that Jim Tedisco has "almost no chance of winning" in NY-20.
Based on challenged ballot counts provided by FiveThirtyEight by the Scott Murphy for Congress campaign, it appears that the majority of ballot challenges in the special election in New York's 20th Congressional District were made by the Republican Candidate, Jim Tedisco. As these changes are resolved by election officials, Murphy, the Democrat, will almost certainly add to his current 273-vote lead. He appears bound for a narrow, but relatively unambiguous, victory.
...
At this point, Jim Tedisco's best strategy is to do whatever he needs to do to improve his chances in 2010 and beyond, something that probably requires the right combination of aggrievedness and graciousness. Barring an unanticipated legal intervention, he has almost no chance of winning this election.
It's over, Jim. The people of the 20th have been without their full complement of representation in DC for almost 3 months now. They deserve an end to this.
|