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Fixing Upstate

by: davesnyd

Thu Apr 23, 2009 at 08:57:38 AM EDT


I posted this as a comment at Rochester Turning but it seemed worthy of a diary here, as well.

I've been mulling why the Upstate New York economy has never picked up since the downslide of the late 70s and early 80s.

I think it is a lack of leadership focused on doing the things necessary to improve the economy and have some specific suggestions for what we could be doing differently. Reduce the cost of business, better promote the region, and implement policies and plans to help nurture businesses and our economy (will? can? might?) has at least a chance of improving.

More below the fold.

davesnyd :: Fixing Upstate
Start with three assumptions:

1. Most jobs are created by small firms and startups.

2. At least some part of the decision to start a firm in an area, relocate to an area, expand in an area, or open a new facility in an area is rational: most profit for fewest dollars spent. The other part is irrational-- based on "we like Silicon Valley because we're already there" or "we like sunny weather" or "the South doesn't have unions".

3. Government has a role to play in helping nurture a climate that encourages businesses to provide new jobs.

So-- where do we go from here?

1. Bring the costs of doing business in WNY down. Do the following things:
   a. Lower energy costs by directing all hydroelectric power at businesses in WNY.
   b. Lower tax costs by reducing state government expenditures.
   c. Lower transportation costs by building a regional airport serving Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse and getting a better economy of scale.
   d. Target any tax reductions and incentives at businesses that are creating real jobs-- creating goods and services that are sold outside of the region-- instead of shuffling jobs from one company already based here to another-- such as hotels, nursing homes, restauraunts, car repair shops, local construction firms, and the like.
   e. Absolutely stop wasting money on foolishness like the fast ferry. That was an obvious con job from the day it was announced. We're going down the same path, again, with Rennaissance square. We seem to like shooting ourselves in the foot.

2. Better promote our region and increase its intrinsic value
   a. Point out that we have the best educated workforce in the company (more productivity, better creativity, better final product) with a low cost of living and relatively low wages. Make sure that our schools stay the best in the country.
   b. I hate earmarks or member items or pork or whatever you want to call it. It's wasteful and bad governance and sends all the wrong messages. But as long as our system is set up with it (maybe, even, centered on it), use it wisely to fund research facilities that will spin off companies and new technologies. Decide as a delegation that we'll focus on an area of technology, seed institutes at the local colleges and universities, and make sure that the output has practical value.
   c. Better network regionally among our colleges and universities. Make sure that we have a coordinated higher educational plan. Stop treating "upstate" as a bunch of individual fiefs and treat it as a region. That's the kind of thinking that turned a swath of North Carolina into "Research Triangle Park".
   d. Implement a real high speed rail-- 200-300 mph-- from New York to Buffalo so that the upstate region can serve as a back-office community for firms in NYC. There is a huge difference between a 1 1/2 to 2 hour train ride and a four hour train ride. We're missing the ball on this one-- we're willing to settle for the 100 mph train that has been proposed.

What specifically do we need to do differently?

1.  It's clear we need to reduce the cost of government. We need to streamline at the local level and reduce what we spend at the State level. There are three primary areas the state government spends: prisons, health care, and education.
   a. We need to go further than we have in reforming our drug laws to reduce prison costs and we also need to take a good hard look at prison contracts.
   b. We need to figure out how to do high quality education at a lower cost. My suspicion is that we need to figure out how to dramatically reduce administrative and overhead costs.
   c. We need to look at reimbursements, especially for nursing homes, and bring them in line with other States. This is probably the area with the largest savings potential-- it is also a danger zone for politicians: witness the campaign against the Governor over the past six months.

2. We need to eliminate our IDAs and either do a blanket tax reduction or have non-political agencies really focusing tax relief on businesses with high value jobs. The Monroe County IDA is the poster child for wasteful IDA efforts.

3. We need to stop wasting our earmarks and member items on foolish small projects that win political points for the legislator who has sponsored them. Every single one ought to be sized up in terms of "how does it help improve the local economy".

4. We need to change and invigorate and spend a lot more money on promoting this region to businesses outside the region. I can't believe how much money and effort has been spent on "Rochester made for living" advertisements in this market. Spend it on "Rochester made for business" (or, thinking regionally, "Upstate is made for business") advertisments in San Francicso, Boston, New York, and Chicago-- where the people with investment capital live. We're "made for business" because we have a better educated workforce with cheaper land and lower wages than where they are currently investing. Make sure they know that.

5. Every governmental body that deals with business regulations and affairs-- state, county, city, and town-- should have an ombudsman office for small businesses to help them steer through the beauracracy and reduce the "government overhead": time, frustration, and money that they need to endure in order to be successful.

Some of these are easy, many are tough, a few may be borderline impossible. But right now, we're wasting time, money, and breath on foolishness like Renaissance square, worrying whether we have good enough bars and nightclubs to convince college graduates to stay, and silly projects. We need political leadership that has vision, strategy, and a plan and is focused more on improving the State than on pandering to the entrenched political power players.

I had hoped Elliot Spitzer would be that leadership. That's why I supported him.

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Fixing Upstate | 9 comments
Great Post (0.00 / 0)
Great post.  For a while I have been advocating for a more regional approach to fix the Upstate economy.  

One thing that I think you left out was stopping urban sprawl.  Urban sprawl has decimated the entire region.  We have recklessly allowed uncontrolled suburban growth to cripple our budgets and spread our resources too thin.  

Instead the state needs to reform its laws to give Upstate cities; Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Niagara Falls, Utica and Binghamton the resources they need to be the core city for each sub region. Years ago Oregon saw how devastating sprawl could be and instituted a growth boundary around Portland.  Today Portland is widely regarded a model city.  


One of my favorite topics! (0.00 / 0)
I really agree with you about some things in this post (i.e., Rochester IDA as the poster child of economic development fail-- that's why I did my masters thesis on it ;-), but disagree about others.   Most important, though, is to get everybody talking and thinking about it.

Here's a meme I like in thinking about this subject: upstate NY and especially the Canal Corridor are some of the oldest urban development in the country. Therefore, it is not development that is needed, like in LA or Silicon Valley or Phoenix, so much as redevelopment.  These are fundamentally different in nature.  The big difference is the existence of powerful entrenched interests-- holders of wealth and influence, at least at a local level.  IDAs have been in a state the equivalent of regulatory capture since they started in the 70s, due to the power and influence of each locality's Big Boys in Blue Blazers.  IDA presidents were chosen from the ranks of the Fortune 500 companies in their environs-- of course, as those were the dudes with the big expensive watches and the good lockers at the country club.... and they proceeded to give tax breaks to companies that threatened to leave the area and leave them as big fish in shrinking ponds.  COMIDA, for instance, gave subsidy after subsidy to Kodak to "retain jobs" as they shipped their locus of interest to China and let their technology grow as stale as bran muffins from 1914.

OK, you are with me this far, yeah?  Well, see if you can follow it a bit further afield.  Our pride and joy, our local institutions of higher ed, are also entrenched interests, and we suffer from some of the same issues with them as with Ma Kodak.  This idea:

..fund research facilities that will spin off companies and new technologies. Decide as a delegation that we'll focus on an area of technology, seed institutes at the local colleges and universities, and make sure that the output has practical value.  

We are already doing that in spades, and this is what we are getting for it.  His arrogance IS legendary, as the article says.  And the "Centers of Excellence" research centers have a lousy track record, too. Education and technological research are not the end-all be-all to economic development, any more than Kodak or Corning or IBM were.  The "next big thing" is, you know, likely to come from a direction you weren't expecting, rather than be the product of "normal science" as practiced by the prestigious campus elite with the ear of the Administration's lobbyists, who have the ear of politicians.

So, NYS put the head of M&T Bank in charge of economic development (ESD) after he offered to do the job at no salary.... because, you know, he was a prominent upstate businessman (a Big Boy in Blue Blazer).  And then, his bank promptly began to tank with the rest of the Masters of the Universes' projects.  How much time and trouble you figure he is devoting to NYS econ dev right now? And who decided he had the answers, anyway?

These are some tough, tough issues, upstate redevelopment.  It might, you know, "take a village," not just a Big Man.  We are well into a technological revolution that makes fast feedback loops economically feasible.  User feedback and user-led innovation are the hot stuff lately, I think.  Participation makes the critical mass, social networking makes the focus of attention.  I just love this video, and see it as very, very instructive as to how to surf on the waves and bubbles of the sea of progress: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

Who holds the key to upstate redevelopment?  You, me, ever-y-bod-y.  Level the playing field, stop sending the powerful to the front of the line, and the creativity to move forward, start new businesses, do the next big thing, will bubble up from the sidewalks, just like Jane Jacobs says.


I'd love to hear your thoughts on what you found to be the best sources (0.00 / 0)
of info for IDA research.

[ Parent ]
It's all deep dark secrets (4.00 / 1)
Their "records," such as they are, are obfuscated to the max... and I think I only got access to them because I was a student and I came in acting like I would FOIL them, too.  I did a lot of parallel research using industrial directories-- that helped, especially with understanding which companies with different names were really the same company.  That "shirt changers" thing did not just start with the Empire Zones.  Also instructive to see the differences between the numbers of employees reported to the IDA, and the numbers published in the industrial directories.

For today, the parallel research can be done through Harris InfoSource online, I think-- but, it is proprietary, and libraries are not so inclined to have hard copy anymore, either....  http://www.harrisinfo.com/


[ Parent ]
Many many thanks Robinia. (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
Good point, but a few bad prescriptions. (4.00 / 1)
The first thing to know is that it isn't the state taxes which make this an unattractive place to start a small business.  I've looked into this.

(1) Red tape.  There really are too many overlapping requirements.  Why do we have to purchase separate workers' comp and disability insurance?  Even if we have a total of 1 employee?  Why is the pricing so expensive and bizarre and seemingly not proportional to risk?  This is a fixed cost not proportional to income or payroll, making it a special risk.  (This particular mess could largely be eliminated with Single Payer Health Care at the national level.)

Why is Agriculture & Markets so intensely restrictive?  They've caused extraordinary trouble with various specialty farms -- and that's one of Upstate's strengths.  Be friendly to the businesses you've already got, especially the ones the neighbors love.  For God's sake.

(2) Property taxes.  These really are very high relative to other states.  Funding the schools entirely through income taxes would eliminate this problem.  This is another fixed cost not relative to business income, so it hurts you worse if you're marginal.  The IDAs are a rather stupid and widely abused band-aid on this -- lowering property taxes overall would actually work.

(3) Government expense?  Intense government fragmentation and overlap.  Why is there a County government, currently fighting with the City government of Rochester?  Huh?  Does this make any sense?  We have innumerable governments with different boundaries.  This is great for local autonomy and all, but it's an administrative disaster.  The school district boundaries don't match anything else.  "Special districts" need to be severely cut back.  If I could do it, I'd suggest a complete reorganization of the entire state administrative structure -- redrawing the counties along rational lines (keeping communities together), abolishing the towns, merging the school districts with the counties, and enlarging cities and villages to include their entire "sewer district" and "lighting district" and "water district" areas.  Cities and villages seem to provoke actual personal attachment in a way that the other units don't, which is why I propose less alteration for them.

(As an aside, the only people who really have a major stake in the school board elections can't even vote in them, because they're too young -- school management is a big issue.)

And of course fixing the drug laws and closing the prisons would save a fortune.  

Actually, statewide universal single-payer healthcare would save a fortune too -- the only bad side effect would be all the sick people moving here from out of state.  That's why it should be done nationally.  The problem at the moment is really that taxpayers pay for all the sickest people, and the well people feel like they don't get anything for it.  It's cheap to add coverage for the well people.  Our reimbursement rates are not significantly crazier than the rest of the country (rates are crazy nationwide due to weird insurance company pressures).

(4) Transportation.  To be fair, passenger transportation upstate is really terrible in many ways.  Honestly, having decent intercity rail service tying us together would make us a powerhouse region again. And having decent anti-sprawl policies combined with decent local mass transit would have a major effect too.

In the short run, cleaning things up requires raising the income tax -- the one tax it is absolutely safe to raise, because no business will leave just because of it.  (And if we make the state a nice place to live, individuals won't leave either.)  We should be able to cut a big heap of other taxes and especially fees -- which incidentally should save vastly on red tape and overhead -- but we have to raise some "general revenue" in order to do so.


To emphasize my first point: (0.00 / 0)
"   b. Lower tax costs by reducing state government expenditures. "

Not plausible.  The unusually high tax costs for a typical business are not state government taxes funding state government expenditures.  They are local taxes funding schools, and weird fees, and authority taxes, and so forth.

Though saving money by closing prisons and decriminalizing drugs is certainly a good idea.

Make that "Lower tax costs by reducing fixed tax/fee costs to businesses which are not relative to income", and you have the outline of how to encourage startups.


[ Parent ]
Good points (0.00 / 0)
I agree with them all.

[ Parent ]
Fixing Upstate | 9 comments
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