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NY-03: Peter King's District In Democratic Sights For 2012

by: robert.harding

Mon Jun 01, 2009 at 12:16:59 PM EDT


There has been a lot of speculation about New York and redistricting come 2012. Some believe that my home congressional district, the 26th congressional district, could be a target. Others have discussed the possibility of some of the separate, gerrymandered districts.

Now comes word today that the 3rd congressional district might be a target during the redistricting process, which would be one way for Democrats to get rid of Republican Peter King.

From Liz:

A source close to Senate Majority Leader Malcolm Smith confirmed "serious discussions" between Democrats in New York and Washington are underway about King's district.

"It's an obvious choice because of the population of the area," he said.

Long Island was once a Republican stronghold, but it has been trending Democratic since the last census.

The GOP still has a 46,072-voter enrollment edge in King's 3rd Congressional District, which includes parts of Nassau and Suffolk counties.

The number of Democrats has grown faster since the last redistricting, with 16,843 voters added to their ranks since 2001, compared with the Republicans' 1,336.

King isn't concerned about being on the Democratic hit list.

"This is dream talk," he said. "It's three years from now. I don't know if I'll even be alive."

It will be interesting to see what approach the Democrats take when it comes to redistricting. King is probably the most safe of the three Republicans that are still serving in the House of Representatives from New York. Targeting him makes sense, but how you would split up his district is a tougher question.

robert.harding :: NY-03: Peter King's District In Democratic Sights For 2012
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It's easy. (0.00 / 0)
The 3rd borders New York City, right?  Mix in some voters from Brooklyn and Queens, and there ya go.

No it doesn't (0.00 / 0)
Carolyn McCarthy's district borders Queens. The 3rd is the Town of Oyster Bay, city of Glen Cove and Town of Babylon in Suffolk.

I'm not really sure how to make this district more Democratic unless you just get rid of it all together. This is the second most Republican district in the whole state.

You would have to tear it up and split it between McCarthy, Ackerman and Israel.  


[ Parent ]
You could redistrict (0.00 / 0)
using what I've been calling the spaghetti strand method-strands running from the city all the way down long island.

It's a turrible idea, but if you want 27 safe seats in three years, spaghetti stringing up and down is the way to go.

Again, to be crystal clear, it's a TERRIBLE idea. The fear of losing is arguably the most reliable way to keep politicians honest.

Also, having 3 Republican seats really isn't that bad of a thing.


[ Parent ]
This whole discussion assumes that the Democrats maintain control of the State Senate (4.00 / 1)
and that is not a sure thing.  We shouldn't get ahead of ourselves considering that the margin in the Senate is razor thin and since in the majority a few Democrats seem to enjoy getting arrested.

In the event that Democrats do control all three branches of government, redistricting King out would be fairly simple.  Give McCarthy some queens votes, shift some of McCarthy's Nassau county democratic areas to King's district, and throw in some democratic voters from Bishop's district for good measure.


The problem with Nassau/Queens (0.00 / 0)
is that I don't think South Queens and South Nassau have ever been in the same district.

But I wonder if a good move would be to give McCarthy the Rockaway Peninsula, the demographics of which is a lot like her district now and it is home to many Irish Catholic Democrats like herself...and give up say East Meadow/Hempstead/Roosevelt to King.


[ Parent ]
Agreed. People are cooking rabbits that haven't been caught. (0.00 / 0)
For now we should be focusing on 2010, trying to secure a Democratic state senate, and targeting the vulnerable Republicans in the state. Lee is really the last one left in Congress, though I think King's district might be gettable if he dropped out to run statewide. After 2010, we'll know a lot better what we need to do to undo the damage that the Republicans did to the district lines.

[ Parent ]
Of course it's not... (0.00 / 0)
A sure thing. But we shouldn't act like it's not a possibility either. We have the majority right now and while it is a slim majority, the Republicans haven't done anything yet to show that they are going to take it back in 2010. Prepping for the future in 2010 and 2012 is a must.



[ Parent ]
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