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NY-23: Oot Actively Seeking Democratic Nod

by: robert.harding

Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 09:08:50 AM EDT


There were few Republicans who were successful winning their congressional seats back time after time like John McHugh. McHugh, who some have considered a fairly moderate Republican, ran unopposed in 2002, won with 71 percent of the vote in 2004 against Bob Johnson, beat Johnson again in 2006 with 63 percent of the vote and won re-election last November with 65 percent of the vote over Democrat Mike Oot.

Now with McHugh out of the picture, Oot is very interested in getting the Democratic nomination for the seat.

In a letter to supporters, Oot said he is "going to try to secure the nomination" and is confident that if he can get the nomination from party leaders, he can win the race.

The full letter is below the fold, but here is an excerpt from the letter:

Dear Family and Friends,  

Well, it's been a busy week,  so I thought I should write you and bring you up to date.  

I am going to try to secure the nomination as the Democratic candidate for Congress in the 23rd District.

We are moving a step at a time and I will consult with my family and advisors to evaluate our position at every step.  

As you know, 21 months ago, my family and I set out on a journey motivated entirely by two things, our frustration with the Bush Administration and their collaborators in Congress and a strong desire to improve the quality of life, economic and otherwise, of the citizens of this District.  

Soon, we were joined by you, and all of us continued that journey and tried to make history by working to bring change to the the 23rd District.

Despite the outcome of the election, it's hard to say we lost.  The fact is that with very little money and the strong support of  volunteers like you, almost 70,000 voters joined with us in that effort. In Madison County we received 45% of the vote, in Clinton County 44% and in Franklin County 43%.

Now McHugh is leaving; it's an entirely different situation.  The seat will soon be vacant and as I said, I want the nomination as the candidate for the open seat.

Oot wasn't a very good fundraiser the last time around. His campaign finance filings show that he raised over $100,000 for a congressional race. That isn't a lot of money, especially for a district that spans 11 counties. He attributes this to the other races happening around him, including the congressional races in NY-24 and NY-25, but I don't think it's the races as much as it was an inability to raise money or being inexperienced in the area of fundraising.

In addition to that, running against McHugh is tough. He received bi-partisan support over the years and that made it difficult for any Democrat to run against him. So Oot had that going against him too. It wasn't a race that Oot was going to win on his first try.

It is going to take a lot of money to win this race. We saw in NY-20 that a lot of money was spent by both sides. The race in NY-23 won't be any different. We still have time before the race is even announced (McHugh is going to have to wait a few weeks before being confirmed, maybe even a month) but it's going to take a lot of effort to win this. Is Mike Oot the guy? On paper, probably not.

But who knows what would happen with the state party paying attention and helping Oot. That could be a difference-maker. Enter the DCCC and things get more interesting.

I wouldn't rule Oot out completely. But based on past history, he's going to have to show why he would be a great candidate for a special election and show that he can improve in his weak areas.

robert.harding :: NY-23: Oot Actively Seeking Democratic Nod
Dear Family and Friends,  

Well, it's been a busy week,  so I thought I should write you and bring you up to date.  

I am going to try to secure the nomination as the Democratic candidate for Congress in the 23rd District.

We are moving a step at a time and I will consult with my family and advisors to evaluate our position at every step.  

As you know, 21 months ago, my family and I set out on a journey motivated entirely by two things, our frustration with the Bush Administration and their collaborators in Congress and a strong desire to improve the quality of life, economic and otherwise, of the citizens of this District.  

Soon, we were joined by you, and all of us continued that journey and tried to make history by working to bring change to the the 23rd District.

Despite the outcome of the election, it's hard to say we lost.  The fact is that with very little money and the strong support of  volunteers like you, almost 70,000 voters joined with us in that effort. In Madison County we received 45% of the vote, in Clinton County 44% and in Franklin County 43%.

Now McHugh is leaving; it's an entirely different situation.  The seat will soon be vacant and as I said, I want the nomination as the candidate for the open seat.

All of us worked very hard last year.  Together we covered every square foot of this District, we shook hands with thousands of people, we marched in a multitude of parades, we met the people of each committee, met the people of each and every county, town and village and worked as, I believe, no other Democratic candidate in this District had ever worked before. I familiarized myself with the issues facing the citizens of each region in the District, and while there is much work to be done, I believe that we have the potential to work together to resolve many of them.  We achieved name recognition, we delivered a message that resonated with the people and succeeded in more goals than any underfunded campaign had the right to expect.  And, importantly, our organization  remains in place.  All this we accomplished with hard work, sweat, shoe leather and little else to sustain us.  

The fact is, that being just six months out from the election, we are in a position where we could,  literally, begin the campaign again tomorrow.  This, I think, will be very important in determining the designated candidate.

The fact is that this time out, we will not be hampered in our fund raising by the presence of so many high profile campaigns around us.  Remember what we competed against  in fund raising?   Aubertine Special Election, Hilary and Obama primary, Aubertine election, Maffei election, Arcuri election, Obama election.  

If we are the designated candidate in this Special Election and the election takes place this fall, we compete with no national races.

There is a process in place to designate that candidate.  I want to be that candidate.    My family, my staff and I are familiarizing ourselves with that process but believe that it is intended to be inclusive, comprehensive and peaceful.  Our work in the last campaign was not in vain, but we will have to prove ourselves again, but most especially, I have to reprove myself.  

As I understand the process so far, the decision will be made by the various County Chairs with the advice of many, including their committee members and local voters.  

I know what I'm made of and I know what you're made of and I know that we can both secure the nomination and together go on to win this race.

Please help me by being supportive of me and respectful of the process.  Feel free to discuss this with others; a note to your County Committee would probably help.  Feel free to forward this letter as you see fit.    

I am convinced that we will achieve our goals and that we will make history by bringing significant change to the lives of people in this District.  

Let's be ready.

Mike

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The Sacrifical Lamb (0.00 / 0)
Now wants to run with the wolves.

Due respect to Oot, but the argument that it was difficult to raise money because he was "competing" for limited dollars is specious.  Good candidates - with a message and a whiff of viability - break through with fundraising.  He had neither, so he didn't.

Research will show what kind of candidate will be best positioned to win.  Maybe it's a partial self-funder/business type like Scott Murphy, or a former prosecutor like Arcuri, or a Military guy like Massa, a local elected like Higgins or even an aggressive lawyer/political activist like Gillibrand.

I think "the eleven" will keep their powder dry, evaluate their options in a fuller context (with intel about about when the election might be held, who the GOP candidates are, etc.) and then make a decision.

It's not likely to be Oot.


23rd CD (4.00 / 1)
Interesting your take the past performance of those who challenged McHugh - money, eh? Okay, why didn't you mention that McHugh took on average some 75 percent of his money from outside the district and NYS? Money is importtant - we all know that, and I know firsthand, I ran against McHugh in 1994 (that Gingrich "revolution") ... but if the DCCC and/or NYS Dems want to win they need to put up money for the campaigns ... just like they did to get Sen. Aubertine into the NYS Senate ...

Name, fame and fortune are critical - but not the most critical, in my view: issues should matter... I believe I have the best overall background (military, DOD and intelligence; I was an interrogator for nearly 12 years and that issue is red hot today) to fill the shoes of McHugh.

Will I get the nod from the 11 chairs - probably not - but, if issues, then I'm the man for the job ...

I have wide name recognition across this vast district - the ones being mentioned outside of those of us who have run in the past DO NOT. That should mean something.

Losing is not a sin; and, it should not be fatal to me, either - that is, if issues matter?

Dan Francis


Aubertine (0.00 / 0)
Is now free to run with the Senate slipping away.

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