About
The Albany Project seeks to return New York State Government to its rightful owners - the people.

Getting Started at the Albany Project

New York Blogwire



This belongs to you. Take it back...

Q-Poll: Majority of NY Voters Favor Marriage Equality (Including Hispanics, Sen. Diaz)

by: Roatti

Wed Jun 24, 2009 at 01:22:18 AM EDT


Good stuff:

New York State voters support 51 - 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided, a law allowing same-sex couples to marry, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is the first poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing support for same-sex marriage in New York State, where voters split 46 - 46 percent on this issue in a May 14 survey and opposed same-sex marriage 55 - 37 percent in an April 15, 2004, poll.

In this latest survey, women support same-sex marriage 58 - 35 percent, while men oppose it by a narrow 48 - 44 percent margin. Same-sex marriage wins 65 - 28 percent from Democrats and 52 - 42 percent from independent voters, while Republicans oppose it 66 - 27 percent. The proposal wins 52 - 42 percent support from white voters and 55 - 39 percent from Hispanics. Black voters split with 43 percent in favor and 42 percent opposed.

Hispanics are actually the ethnic group most in favor of marriage equality in this poll.

I guess Sen. Diaz likes to pull numbers out of his ass as much as he likes being a bigot:

Statement By NYS Senator Rev. Ruben Diaz (D-Bronx) On Today's Assembly Vote For Homosexual Marriage

Posted by Ruben Diaz on Tuesday, June 19th, 2007

As a legislator of Hispanic origin, today I am very disappointed with those members of the Hispanic delegation in the State Assembly for supporting homosexual marriage in New York.
It is sad that the Hispanic legislators in the NYS Assembly will vote in favor of homosexual marriage today. Our community as a whole, Black, White, Asian, Islamic and Hispanic is at least 80% against homosexual marriage. Most New Yorkers are from communities that believes in moral, traditional and family values.

(all bolds mine)

Support for marriage equality was probably lower among all groups when Diaz made this statement 2 years ago, but unlikely that low.  Not that facts matter when you're dealing with an irrational bigot who hides behind his ethnicity to mask his bogotry, but if Ruben Diaz's gut says that 80% of Hispanics oppose marriage equality, it must be true!  

Roatti :: Q-Poll: Majority of NY Voters Favor Marriage Equality (Including Hispanics, Sen. Diaz)
Tags: , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Not only that, (4.00 / 1)
but two of Diaz' brothers are gay!

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2...


Crazy article! (0.00 / 0)
Maybe Diaz is so anti-gay because he's in the closet?

[ Parent ]
This polling crap... (0.00 / 0)
is nothing but a veiled effort to try to shape public opinion in a skewed fashion.  10% of the population does not change its mind on a highly charged issue on the public agenda in a matter of weeks.  Simply put Seina, Marist, Quinnipiac, etc...are obviously dishing up batches of hockum
without explanation of their results.  My only question is who, behind the scenes, is paying for all this garbage?

It could be a statistical blip by either tis poll or the previous one (4.00 / 1)
or it could be the recent legalization of gay marriage in neighboring states followed by a lack of sky-falling.  I just don't buy any conspiracy theories about Quinnipiac.

[ Parent ]
Reasons for change (0.00 / 0)
Over the past several weeks there has been a major push by both proponents and opponents of marriage equality, and the tactics used could explain the shift.  Proponents are asking people to call their state Senators, and talking about the facts of the actual legislation.  Opponents are relying on the same old (tired) rhetoric, and in a changing society that may be turning people off.

In addition, since the earlier poll both Tom Suozzi and Joe Bruno have spoken publicly in favor of equality, as have several national figures.

I don't know how much, if any, difference the tactics are making, or whether the positional changes announced by several current and former elected officials has had an effect, but I suspect it all adds up nicely.


[ Parent ]
Polling data (4.00 / 1)
When a pollster reports a "margin of error," that is the range within which a pollster has a 95% probability of being accurate.  In these polls, if the margin of error is, say, plus-or-minus 4%, two polls taken at the same time can be as much as 8% apart and still claim they got essentially the same result.

Of course, you might say that there's always that one-in-twenty chance that the poll numbers are flat wrong.  But that assumes that polling is truly random, and it isn't.  Pollsters have learned a lot about demographic breakdowns since the "Dewey defeats Truman" days.  Back then, the polls were all done by telephone at a time when many poor and working-class people didn't have telephones, and the pollsters failed to take that into account.

Today's pollsters adjust the raw data to reflect differences between the demographics of the people who answered the questions and the actual demographics of the total field.  As a result, polls are more likely to be accurate, and likely to be more accurate, than they were all those years ago.

There is, however, still the chance of an outlier.


The Albany Project

Please take my Blog Reader Project survey.

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Search




Advanced Search


NY blogs

Politics

Adirondack Almanack
Buffalo Geek
Buffalo Pundit
Capitol Confidential
Daily Gotham
Daily Politics
DMI Blog
DragonFlyEye
Empire Page
Empire Zone
Gothamist
Gotham Gazette
Group News Blog
Jason Gooljar
Left of the Hudson
Living In Dryden
Lost In The Ozone
McHugh Watch
Nassau GOP Watch
Planet Albany
Politicker NY
Politics on the Hudson
Reform NY
Rochester Turning
Room 8
Simply Left Behind
Take19
The Community Alliance

Think Tanks

Brennan Center for Justice
Citizens Budget Commission
Citizens Union
Drum Major Institute
Fiscal Policy Institute
New Democracy Project
Progressive States

Organizations

Citizen Action
Citizens for Better Government in New York
Common Cause
New York Citizens for Clean Elections
Progressive States Network
>
National Blogs

Politics

AmericaBlog
Crooks and Liars
DailyKos
Digby
Eschaton
Firedoglake
MyDD
Political Cortex
Senate Guru
Skippy
Swing State Project
Talk Left
Talking Points Memo
The Right's Field

LBAN Network

Agonist
All Spin Zone
AlterNet
AMERICAblog
American Street
ArchPundit
BAGNewsnotes
BartCop
Big Head DC
Blogging of the Pres
BlogACTIVE
Bluegrass Report
Bluegrass Roots
Blue Indiana
BlueJersey
Blue Mass. Group
BlueOregon
BlueNC
Bob Geiger
Booman
BRAD Blog
Brendan Calling
Buckeye State Blog
Burnt Orange Report
Calitics
Capitol Annex
Carpetbagger Report
Chris Floyd
Clay Cane
Cliff Schecter
Comments from Left Field
Confined Space
Corrente
Cotton Mouth
Crooks and Liars
culture kitchen
Cursor
Daily Gotham
Daily Kos
David Corn
Democrats.com
Dem Bloggers
Deride and Conquer
Democratic Underground
Digby
DovBear
Drudge Retort
Ed Cone
ePluribus Media
Eschaton
Ezra Klein
Feministe
Feministing
Firedoglake
Fired Up
First Draft
Frameshop
Greatscat!
Green Mountain Daily
Greg Palast
Hoffmania
Horse's Ass
Hughes for America
In Search of Utopia
Is That Legal?
Jesus' General
Jon Swift
Juan Cole
Keystone Politics
Kick!
KnoxViews
Las Vegas Gleaner
Latino Pundit
Lawyers, Guns and Money
Left Coaster
Left in the West
Liberal Avenger
Liberal Oasis
Loaded Orygun
Mahablog
Majikthise
Make Them Accountable
Matthew Yglesias
MaxSpeak
Media Girl
Michigan Liberal
Minnesota Campaign Report
Minnesota Monitor
MyDD
My Left Nutmeg
My Left Wing
My Two Sense
Nathan Newman
Needlenose
Nevada Today
News Corpse
News Dissector
Newshoggers
News Hounds
Nitpicker
Oliver Willis
onegoodmove
OpenLeft
PageOneQ
Pam's House Blend
Pandagon
People's Rep. of Seabrook
PinkDome
Politics1
Political Animal
Political Wire
Poor Man Institute
Prairie State Blue
Progressive Historians
Raising Kaine
Raw Story
Reno Discontent
Republic of T
Rhode Island's Future
Rochester Turning
Rocky Mountain Report
Rod 2.0
Rox Populi
Rude Pundit
Sadly, No!
Satirical Political Report
Seeing The Forest
Shakesville
SirotaBlog
SistersTalk
Skippy the Bush Kangaroo
Slacktivist
Smirking Chimp
SquareState
Suburban Guerrilla
Swing State Project
Talking Points Memo
Talk Left
Tapped
Taylor Marsh
Tattered Coat
Texas Kaos
The Albany Project
The Blue State
The Democratic Daily
The Hollywood Liberal
The Reaction
The Talent Show
This Modern World
Town Called Dobson
Turn Maine Blue
Uppity Wisconsin
Wampum
War and Piece
WashBlog
Watching the Watchers
West Virginia Blue
Young Philly Politics
Young Turks

Register to Vote: Rock the Vote, powered by Working Assets Wireless

blog radio

Get the albany project in your inbox! Just enter your email address

Delivered by FeedBurner

____________________


Active Users
Currently 0 user(s) logged on.

Powered by: SoapBlox