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        firemonsterrate2

This belongs to you. Take it back...

NY-23: Breaking: Scozzafava Drops Out!

by: phillip anderson

Sat Oct 31, 2009 at 11:48:52 AM EDT


Whoa! Looks like Dede just packed it in.


SCOZZAFAVA SUSPENDS 23RD CAMPAIGN

Dede Scozzafava, the Republican and Independence parties candidate, announced Saturday that she is suspending her campaign for the 23rd Congressional District and releasing all her supporters.

The state Assemblywoman has not thrown her support to either Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate, or Bill Owens, the Democratic candidate.

"Today, I again seek to act for the good of our community," Ms. Scozzafava wrote in a letter to friends and supporters. "It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican. It is my hope that with my actions today, my party will emerge stronger and our district and our nation can take an important step towards restoring the enduring strength and economic prosperity that has defined us for generations."

Ms. Scozzafava told the Watertown Daily Times that Siena Research Institute poll numbers show her too far behind to catch up - and she lacks enough money to spend on advertising in the last three days to make a difference. Mr. Owens has support from 36 percent of likely voters in the poll, with Mr. Hoffman garnering 35 percent support. Ms. Scozzafava has support from 20 percent of those polled.

UPDATE: TPM reports that the NRCC will now officially back Hoffman.

A GOP source tells TPM that the National Republican Congressional Committee is going to get behind Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman in the NY-23 special election, now that moderate Republican nominee Dede Scozzafava has dropped out.

Hoffman is in a close race with Democrat Bill Owens, and Scozzafava suspended her campaign today after polls showed her in third place. With the NRCC's backing, Hoffman will go from insurgent third-party candidate to being the de facto new Republican nominee.

NRCC chairman Pete Sessions (R-TX) will have a statement out shortly.

Wow. Scozzafava's full statement is on the flip.

phillip anderson :: NY-23: Breaking: Scozzafava Drops Out!
"Dear friends and supporters:

"Throughout the course of my campaign for Congress, I have made the people of the 23rd District and the issues that affect them the focal point of my campaign. As a life long resident of this district, I care deeply and passionately about its people and our way of life. Whether as a candidate for Congress, a state Assemblywoman or a small town mayor, I have always sought to act with the best interest of our district and its residents in mind-and today I again seek to act for the good of our community.

"The opportunity to run as the Republican and Independence Party candidate to represent the 23rd District has been and remains one of the greatest honors of my life. During the past several months, as I've traveled the district, meeting and talking with voters about the issues that matter most to them, I've been overwhelmed by the amount of support I've received as I sought to serve as their voice in Washington. However, as Winston Churchill once said, Democracy can be a fickle employer, and the road to public office is not always a smooth one.

"In recent days, polls have indicated that my chances of winning this election are not as strong as we would like them to be. The reality that I've come to accept is that in today's political arena, you must be able to back up your message with money-and as I've been outspent on both sides, I've been unable to effectively address many of the charges that have been made about my record. But as I've said from the start of this campaign, this election is not about me, it's about the people of this district. And, as always, today I will do what I believe serves their interests best.

"It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican. It is my hope that with my actions today, my party will emerge stronger and our district and our nation can take an important step towards restoring the enduring strength and economic prosperity that has defined us for generations.

"On Election Day my name will appear on the ballot, but victory is unlikely. To those who support me - and to those who choose not to - I offer my sincerest thanks. Dede."

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Damn. (4.00 / 1)
Don't know what to think about this.  Even though it's now a two-man's race, Dede will still be on the ballot.  Does anyone know if it's possible for there to be a legal challenge if votes are cast for a person who is not running?  (I imagine that's what the Repubs will do if Owens wins.)

I have no idea who's going to win.  With Dede's name on the ballot, I'd imagine she could still pull in double digits.


No challenge (4.00 / 1)
Officially, she isn't pulling out; the only way to do that is to sign a letter of declination before the deadline.  I'm not sure when exactly that deadline it, but it has certainly passed by now.

BTW, since write-in ballots are always allowed, even if she had officially pulled out people still could have voted for her.


[ Parent ]
Ballot change deadline (4.00 / 2)
The deadline was September 25.  The only way to change it after that date is a candidate "disqualification," like a felony conviction.

Suspension probably also allows Dede to continue to collect money, and I'm sure there are lots of outstanding obligations.


[ Parent ]
The transformation of the Republican Party... (4.00 / 3)
to the Crazy Teabagger Party is now complete.

This is a message that all moderate Republicans should hear loud and clear. They are not wanted in the Republican Party and, if they do want to stay, they have to sign on to Birther-Deather-Crazy-assed thinking, or be banished altogether.

Wonder how this is going to play out in the next few years.

Also, will this have an impact on the NYS Senate? Will the Conservative wing primary all their moderate Senators who embraced Espada and Monserrate...and who may vote for Marriage Equality?


We've got some work ahead of us.


Don't be careful what you wish (4.00 / 2)
The idea of a bunch of right-wing nuts challenging incumbent Republicans sounds really, really good to me.

[ Parent ]
19th CD primary (4.00 / 2)
The primary between Ball and Nan Hayworth will be very interesting to watch.  

[ Parent ]
The Republican Party is Dead (4.00 / 1)
The right wing extremists that brought us the disastrous Bush/Cheney administration, people like Doug Hoffman, have killed it.

If you want birther-deather-teabagging Bush/Cheney extremism then vote for Doug Hoffman because that is what he'll bring you.

If you want sanity and respectability in American politics then vote for Bill Owens because that is what he will bring you.

Peace,

Andrew


[ Parent ]
Is that it for Owens? (4.00 / 1)
Does Hoffman get enough of the Scozzafava vote to put him over the top?  What is Bill Owens doing to try to pick up the moderates who would have voted for Scozzafava?

Hoffman is an extremist (4.00 / 1)
The people of NY-23 are not.

Hoffman will pick up some votes from people that don't understand how far off the deep right wingnut end he is but many folks up there will do what they did in NY-20 and that is vote for the sane, reasonable, responsible, respectable... and did I mention sane?... Democrat Bill Owens.

Hoffman is a full fledged member of the Right Wing Extremist Party.  


[ Parent ]
How do we get Scozzafava to switch parties? (4.00 / 1)
She must see the writing on the wall for her place in the Republican party.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/SteveinNYC

Let the right wing extremists do that job (4.00 / 1)
they are very good at it.

[ Parent ]
Specter's switch was due to the prospect (4.00 / 2)
of another Club for Growth-funded primary.

Scozzafava pointedly did not endorse Hoffman, so Owens will get a good chuck of her supporters.

Whether he'll get enough we won't know until Tuesday night.

Scozzafava could certainly do a lot more to help her Assembly district by joining the Dems.


[ Parent ]
Different situation: Specter didn't have another office he wanted to run for (4.00 / 1)
while Scozzafava clearly wants to run for higher office. The Republican Party just told her the only way to do that is to switch parties.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/SteveinNYC

[ Parent ]
I'm not going to link (4.00 / 2)
in re: idiocy issues obtaining there, but RedState right now is a must-read or must-gloat, if you prefer.

Some quotes:


The party leadership persuaded too many good guys to go with [Scozzafava] and now the GOP is in a world of hurt. and the conservatives trusted the assessment.

snip


Editor's Note: I suggest you read carefully as I am not an advocate of purging people like Susan Collins or the typical "RINO" as there are some races where a conservative really cannot win. I am, however, serious that the GOP must purge its staff and leaders who have decided to always go with the liberal. In particular, the NRCC, NRSC, and RNC need some wholesale job terminations of senior staff.

The race for NY-23 has taken a startling, exciting twist. Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, we know for certain the Republican candidate will not, after getting $900,000.00 in support from the Washington GOP Establishment, will not win. Scozzafava dropped out.

This is a stunning rebuke to the Republican Establishment in Washington.

snip

Conservatives are willing to make compromises and choose lesser Republicans who can win in races a conservative most likely cannot. NY-23 was never one of those places and now the GOP is in a world of hurt.

I'd submit that the reason the Rs are today a marginalized party bleeding support - 18%, boys - is not that they are insufficiently hardcore in the Hoffmann vein. It's that the country faces some real, practical challenges, on the economy, foreign and security policy, energy, whatnot else, that bible-thumping is irrelevant to. So I'm keeping my fingers crossed for the tea-baggers.


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