|
Siena College has released its final poll of the NY-23 race, reflecting shifts since Republican Dede Scozzafava dropped out and endorsed Democrat Bill Owens, rather than join the right-wing hordes embracing Conservative Doug Hoffman.
Since Friday's poll, Hoffman is up 6 points to 41%, Owens is static at 36%, and Scozzafav (who will remain on the ballot) has plummeted to 6%. However, that leaves 18% (up from 9% on Friday) in the Undecided column.
My inclination is to say most of the conservative Scozzafava supporters had already abandoned her during her spectacular collapse over the past month, and the remaining Undecideds are the moderates who stuck with her to the end, and are likely to either go with Owens or stay home. But whoever wins a three-year stint in this job (the District is likely to disappear after the 2010 Census), the Republican Party is going to have either an emboldened or embittered rump movement to contend with going into next year's primaries.
Detailed poll summary:
http://www.siena.edu/uploadedf... |