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Q Poll: New Yorkers' Support For Marriage Equality Depends On Certain Factors

by: robert.harding

Wed Dec 16, 2009 at 10:13:09 AM EST


There are plenty of interesting things in the Q poll released today that I have already covered and plenty more that will be covered.

The subject of marriage equality was brought up in the poll and deserves its own post, mainly because there are a few key factors at play that affect the support (or opposition) for marriage equality.

The Q poll found that 47 percent of New Yorkers support marriage equality and 46 percent oppose it. There are a small percentage of individuals - seven percent - who don't know or have no opinion on the issue.

Support for marriage equality in the Q poll has fluctuated slightly this year. In May, support and opposition to equality were even at 46 percent. In June, however, that increased to 51 percent (a majority of voters) saying they supported marriage equality with 41 percent opposing.

This Q poll breaks it down to where the support and opposition come from. And the three major factors at work are age, education and income.

AGE

The most support for marriage equality in terms of age falls in the obvious category: Young people ages 18 to 34. This is where 58 percent of respondents said they support marriage equality while only 37 percent oppose it. This isn't surprising, as these numbers are in line with what we have seen in other states where marriage equality is a hot-button issue.

Even though that younger generation is where strong support lies, there is support for marriage equality in the 35 to 54 age group. More respondents - 48 percent - support marriage equality than those who oppose it (45 percent). This age group, like in another states, is considered the turning point.

When the question is asked of those over 55, the support for marriage equality decreases significantly to 37 percent with 56 percent opposing equal rights.

Therefore, there is a strong conclusion to make: The younger a person is, the more likely they are to support marriage equality. Or to go the other way, the older a person is, the more likely they are to oppose marriage equality.

INCOME

Who knew that one of the factors at work in the marriage equality debate is income? But that's exactly what the Q poll tells us.

In the category of those making under $50,000, 42 percent said they support marriage equality while 51 percent said they oppose it. Support became stronger in the $50,000 to $100,000 population with 46 percent supporting marriage equality and 48 percent saying they opposed marriage equality.

The greatest support for marriage equality comes from those making over $100,000. A strong majority of these individuals - 59 percent - said they support marriage equality while only 34 percent said they opposed it.

The conclusion to draw from the poll is a clear one. The greater a person's income, the more likely they are to support marriage equality. The lower the person's income, the more likely they are to oppose marriage equality.

EDUCATION

The education of voters plays a big role in where they stand on certain issues and who they vote for, what party they support, among other things. This is a fact we have known for some time. You can tell a lot by a voter just based on one question: Do you have a college education (or more specifically, a college degree)?

The Q poll found that there was opposition to marriage equality among those without a college education. In this group, 52 percent of those surveyed said they opposed marriage equality and 41 percent said they supported it. Those numbers aren't bad, although they do reinforce the point about education and politics.

It should be no surprise that those with a college education supported marriage equality (59 percent) in huge numbers compared to those who opposed it (35 percent).

The more education a person has, the more likely they are to support marriage equality. Education has a huge impact on this and, I might argue, that the college experience opens your mind up to a diverse audience. On a personal level, I didn't have any friends among the LGBT community in high school (at least at the time). But in college, I encountered many people, including those who lived in a nearby room or went to the same classes as I did that were a part of the LGBT community.

CONCLUSION

I have made other conclusions pertinent to the individual subjects, but there is also one conclusion to draw from this poll that couldn't be made in the other areas. This issue is highly complicated. For progressives, we see this as a cut-and-dry issue. We should grant equality to everyone, not just a certain group and we should not let outside influences (i.e. religious leaders) tell us otherwise. I know that African Americans have opposed marriage equality efforts. How soon they have forgotten their own plight and their own efforts to gain equality. Religious leaders forget the beginnings of our country, when this nation was founded by a large group of those seeking religious freedom. If equality was important to them (and presumably still is), it should be important to us all. If we don't live by that guiding principle, we fail to live up to our founders who said in the Declaration of Independence, "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness."

We must not forget those words. They are not reserved for one group over another. They are reserved for everyone who calls this country home and who deserve to be treated with the proper respect and afforded the same rights as everyone else.  

robert.harding :: Q Poll: New Yorkers' Support For Marriage Equality Depends On Certain Factors
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Addabbo mentioned in his interview that he felt (0.00 / 0)
marriage equality should be put up for a popular voter referendum, which was the first reference I'd heard anyone mention that idea. I had heard that wasn't possible. Is there a mechanism for the legislature to put it on the ballot?

Just curious. I think Addabbo mentioning it is clearly a dodge to take a political hot potato off his own plate.

Regarding this poll, interesting that in NY there is no disparity in support by gender. That doesn't square with some of the other polls I've seen. I remember seeing a Maine poll that had a 10 point difference.


No (0.00 / 0)
The only things that go before voters at the state level in New York are bond issues and the once-in-a-while question (at least every 20 years) of whether to have a constitutional convention.

Marriage equality cannot go to a referendum in New York.  Once it finally passes the state Senate (2011?), we'll all be happy that the folks from Arizona and certain churches both inside and outside New York cannot change it.


[ Parent ]
I never understood (0.00 / 0)
the mentality of those over 55. These people were alive to see the Civil Rights Movement and it's aftermath yet polls consistently show them to be more conservative (small c). I just don't understand how one could live through that (some probably participated) and be against an equality issue today.

Because while they might be over 55... (0.00 / 0)
And saw that movement doesn't mean they were part of the movement. I hear older people (70-plus) who still use the term "colored." I would never use the term colored. My mom, who is 41, would never use it. But my grandma who is in her mid-70s? She uses it. That was the term of her day.

That said, my grandma (who was a resident of Georgia until recently) voted for Barack Obama. And my grandma grew up in an era where such a feat was considered impossible.


[ Parent ]
BTW, for those interested in showing pols the carrot: (0.00 / 0)
I set up an ActBlue page to solicit donations to the NY-24 that voted for marriage equality. It will bundle the donations and demark them as a "thank you" for voting yes.

In the interest of both keeping them in office, and demonstrating support for progressive politicians.

The page can be found here:
http://www.actblue.com/page/ne...


must take exception to the claim... (0.00 / 0)
...that the netroots has elected a "progressive majority" in the U.S. Senate. There have never been a majority of progressives leading the U.S. Senate. Never. Unfortunately.

In fact, perhaps if political prognosticators were to look at the Senate a little differently, it would have saved us a lot of trouble regarding health care reform and other legislation.

Democrats do have more progressives in the Senate than at any time in history, depending on how you define a progressive. By my count there are something between 40 and 42 progressives Democrats in the Senate, including Independent Bernie Sanders, who caucuses with Democrats. The rest of the Senators are moderates, at best, or even center-right (i.e. Lieberman, Ben Nelson, Blanche Lincoln, Mary Landrieu and perhaps a couple of others).

Had the people running the Senate realized that there were a solid 40-42 votes for health care reform with a public option, not 60, then Reid could have avoided the current mess by planning for an alternate route (i.e. reconciliation).


oops (0.00 / 0)
...this comment was intended for another posting above (about Barack Obama pressuring conservadems). Sorry.

[ Parent ]
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