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NY-Sen: Gillibrand's best poll yet

by: devtob

Tue May 25, 2010 at 17:55:52 PM EDT


The latest Siena poll of NY-Sen finds that Senator Kirsten Gillibrand has her highest favorability ratings, for that poll, and that she's above 50 percent against the three announced GOP candidates, also for the first time.

Her favorability number is 42, up from 34 in April.

Gillibrand's solid voting record, plus her leadership on issues like DADT and children's health and safety, is impressing more New Yorkers every month.

More numbers, below.

devtob :: NY-Sen: Gillibrand's best poll yet
Gillibrand is still not that well-known, a result of her having been appointed and never run statewide before.

But the more people get to know her, in part due to the Harold Ford mini-campaign of earlier this year, but mostly due to her hard work around the state, the more they like her.

Siena asked whether respondents would vote for her or prefer someone else -- her elect number of 36 may seem low, but its's up dramatically from the 27 of a month ago. And the someone else number dropped from 40 to 38.

But that's generic. In the real world, Siena polled Gillibrand against three possible Republican opponents, and the results showed similar gains.

Against Bruce Blakeman, Siena found Gillibrand leading 51-24, up from 46-26 last month.

Against Joe DioGuardi, Gillibrand now leads 51-25, up from 46-27 in April.

Against David Malpass, Gillibrand does even better, leading 53-22, up from 46-24 last month.

Siena found DioGuardi ahead of the other two (perhaps because of his American Idol judge daughter), but all of them are evidently unknown by a majority of Republican voters -- the don't know/no opinion number for the potential GOP primary was 74.

NY is a solidly Democratic state, and will elect a solid Democrat -- Kirsten Gillibrand -- as its junior Senator in November.

Even the teabaggers recognize this, and have been nowhere near as enthusiastic about this race as they are about Congressional and state legislative races.

A popular Gillibrand, atop the ticket with even-more-popular Sen. Chuck Schumer (Siena favorability of 64) and Andrew Cuomo (Siena favorability of 67), will help lots of down-ticket Democrats in an important election year.

And that's a good thing.    

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It sure took a while, (4.00 / 1)
but voters are starting to pay attention to their new Senator, and generally liking what they see.

She should focus her outreach better (4.00 / 1)
I noticed she does poorly in the suburbs, but being so focused on many family issues, you would think it would resonate better... I'm a big fan but my parents, living in the LI suburbs have no idea what she stands for or what she's done (of course them being conservative republicans doesnt help, but that's a whole other story...)

she's just ehhhhh for me (0.00 / 0)
she's fine, I guess, not super engaged by her to be honest.  Hated the anti-bank reform votes, break up the damn banks.  

2006 redux? (4.00 / 1)
Four years ago Republicans put up incredibly weak candidates at the top of their ticket in the hope that Democratic voters wouldn't turn out for a forgone conclusion.  The idea was to hold on to down-ticket seats, like Sue Kelly and Nick Spano.

It didn't work particularly well back then, but that was a watershed Democratic election year.  This year is different, so look for Republicans to follow the same strategy.

Of course, this could be making a virtue of necessity -- Republicans don't really have anyone who could mount a strong statewide campaign.  But still...


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