- 33%: Want to see Democrats expand their State Senate majority
- 34%: Prefer the status quo, in which Democrats hold a narrow edge
- 27%: Want to see Republicans re-take a majority
This has to be unwelcome news for State Senate Republicans. Between the GOP infighting occurring up and down the ballot and the atrophy of the Senate Republicans' statewide campaign apparatus, Republican Senate candidates were depending on a hostile electorate to carry them over the top in key districts.
But that electorate, while clearly hostile to incumbents (only 31% plan to re-elect their incumbent Senator in a generic question), is not scapegoating Democrats for the state's troubles. And with Republicans showing extreme weakness in every statewide contest tested in the Sienna poll, there are no coattails for GOP legislative candidates to ride.
The New York Senate is a top redistricting priority for the Democratic Party this cycle, because Democratic control of the chamber would give Democrats complete control of the redistricting process for both congressional and state legislative districts.
Democrats have not held a majority in both legislative chambers in New York during a redistricting year since 1910 - exactly 100 years ago. The only other time this has occurred (since the advent of the Republican Party as a competitor) was in 1870. |