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SD-46: State of the Race 8/24 to 8/31

by: Soundpolitic

Tue Aug 31, 2010 at 12:59:43 PM EDT


Media Coverage of Dark Horse Challenge Intensifies

Breslin Accepts Challenge To Debate Martland

In the race between 14-year incumbent Assitant Majority Leader Neil Breslin and his primary challenger Luke Martland news has been constant and consistent in the past week.  So much so that infrequent as-it-happens or after-the-fact updates are implausible.

So begins the SD-46 State of the Race 2010 series, much in the same manner I ran the series for the 2008 Democratic Primary for Congress in NY-21 two years ago.  While this one isn't quite that big, and no political story around this area is this year, Albany County's primary for State Senator has taken center stage along other major local races.

This entry will wrap up the last seven days activity on the campaign trail, and there was quite a bit of movement on both ends.  To start, I no longer have to link to Sen. Breslin's official State Senate page; his name in blue now takes you to the campaign website that finally appeared this past week.  The biggest news for me is that now both candidates finally have my interview questions, and their answers will be forthcoming.

But the biggest news for the voters is the  big debate about to happen between the two candidates.  Shortly after Martland challenged Breslin to return insurance-industry related donations, Martland then took his moment in the spotlight to challenge Breslin to a debate too.

It's happening tomorrow.  So that's the setup for what's happened up until now, and a little bit of what to expect to come.

For what transpired in between, click below the fold for the state of the race...

Soundpolitic :: SD-46: State of the Race 8/24 to 8/31
Luke Martland

Photobucket

"Take Albany Back"

As mentioned, it was a little less than a weeks' time before Sen. Breslin accepted his opponent's challenge to debate publicly.  The League of Women Voter's will be holding that debate tomorrow, and coverage will surely follow and likely define next weeks' news cycle.  

This week was still dominated by various fallout from this story in which the incumbent was featured in a prominent television news broadcast that revealed he misunderstood the Prior-Approval Insurance bill he's been touting for months.  This was a gift as good as gold to the Martland campaign, and once in the spotlight, he made continued use of the media to make his calls, both for Breslin to return campaign frunds from insurance companies and to debate him publicly.

He did this by traditional media outlets and some newer means.  Over on the Martland Campaign's YouTube Channel, you can find his recorded versions of his two telephone town hall meetings he's conducted already.  This was used by Congressional primary candidate Tracey Brooks two years ago, and it's notable that she ended up with the most votes in Albany County, if only by a slim margin.  It may indicate that this method of outreach may work well in this area, and Martland is making use of it.

He's also using YouTube to archive two major radio interviews.  First with the ultimate inside scoop guy, Fred Dicker, on his morning radio show last week:

And also with rising local media luminary Susan Arbetter on The Capitol Press Room:

Naturally, both interviews cover much of the same material that will likely be covered in my own forthcoming interview with the candidate.  But they serve as good introductions with little fanfare over the public airwaves.  If anything, this Martland's "name recognition week," and yes, while no polls have been conducted, I'd be surprised if all this media attention both on the newcomer bucking the system and the old-timer messing things up hasn't given Martland the m-word in all this.

That was this week in Luke Martland's campaign.  Stay tune for next time...this week, Martland will be meeting with editorial boards from several major local publications.

Neil Breslin

Photobucket

"For All The Right Reasons."

Before the media circus, I was searching daily for a new Neil Breslin for State Senate website.  It's no surprise that it's up now and that Team Breslin is in full campaign mode.  For the longest time, that domain would take you to his old 2008 page, which simply said "Thanks for voting!"

But a little negative media attention for you coupled with a positively exponential increase in attention for your opponent with less than a month to go will kick things into high gear.  The Breslin campaign has already started television advertising, and is also posting stuff to YouTube:

And so the race moves into Air Wars mode.  Breslin has quite the cash advantage on his opponent, and for that reason alone I'd guess he is unlikely to meet Martland's challenge to return campaign funds from donors with insurance industry ties.  But will Martland have enough to compete in the expensive realm of broadcasting and even cable?

It remains to be seen.  But the campaign funds issue was synopsised, complete with Breslin's response to Martland's challenge, printed in this Friday's Inside Politics column of the Times Union:

The Democratic primary for  Albany County's state  Senate seat heated up this  week when challenger Luke  Martland called on seven- term incumbent Neil  Breslin, the chairman of  the Senate's Insurance  Committee, to give back  tens of thousands of  dollars in campaign  contributions from the  insurance industry.

Breslin brushed aside  Martland's claims of a  conflict of interest,  saying his legislative  record makes it clear he's  no friend of Big  Insurance.

Both men say they favor  publicly financed  elections. But Breslin  said legislation to that  effect would never pass  now as the state's economy  continues to founder and  that he is forced to  operate within the system  that currently exists.

Besides, it's not just  about him, he said. "I'm  on a team," Breslin said,  referring to the Senate's  Democratic conference,  which is trying  desperately to hold onto  its three-seat majority  after a tumultuous two  years in power.

Breslin, who is assistant  majority leader, said some  of the money he raises can  help defend Democratic  seats elsewhere.

As of earlier this month,  Breslin had a robust  $420,619.73 banked. That's  roughly 10 times more than  Martland's $42,727.76.

Emphasis mine - SP

Statements that I believe to be poor excuses have been italicized, simple facts bolded.  

The fact is that this race has heated up to temperatures that conventional-wisdome and, for lack of a better word, political-groupies would have predicted a few months ago.  Yet Breslin's significant cash advantage, while not quite as exponential as last time, is much much larger than Martlands.

The poor excuses?  I've covered that before.  Like this past week, it's history now, and all opinions are just rough drafts in response to changing situations anyway.

The Primary is Tuesday, September 14th.  Thanks for voting, thanks for reading, and stay tuned...the next State of the Race update is coming soon.

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Tip Jar & Cross-Post (0.00 / 0)
Tips for getting up to speed.

Cross-posted on Soundpolitic.


too dark (0.00 / 0)
Your dark horse candidate may be too opaque. If you think that primary voters are looking for a change then don't you think they might want something different. One lawyer with private sector and public sector experience (the incumbent) is being challenged by another lawyer with very minimal private sector experience. I have actually alked to voters over the spectrum of the Democratic party and don't see the challenger getting any traction. I stand by my 71.8% of a 17,250 vote total for Breslin, let's see if my numbers add up.

Both of our predictions... (0.00 / 0)
...are clouded by our bias toward opposing candidates.

I'd reiterate my reasoning for why, by that's beating a dead horse.  Besides, the above statement is what people would take away from the exchange anyway.

In a couple weeks, we'll be able to directly influence the outcome.  See you then.


[ Parent ]
better (0.00 / 0)
Add up better than my spelling and punctuation in that last post. I must have had my Berne hat on.

Follow the money (4.00 / 1)
Luke Martland has "loaned" his campaign $100,000; he has raised, as of his 32-day pre primary report, $40,000, but only $2,500 in the month between the July and 32-day reports.  He had $42,000 COH.

Breslin, on the other hand, raised $200K from January to July, and $48,000 in the month between the July and 32-day reports.  He has $420K COH, or ten times what Martland has.

Martland doesn't need to match Breslin dollar-for-dollar, but unless he makes another six-figure "loan" he's going to lose and lose big.

(Note:  I put "loan" in quotation marks because while it's officially a loan so far it will become a contribution sometime after the primary, because that's money that, for the most part, will never be paid back.)


I want to know the cost of a NYS Senator (0.00 / 0)
With 2 weeks to go, the conflict of issue problem of Breslin's isn't going away. Those that vote in the Primary will be one candidate voters! Well informed voters, quite adamant in their support of Breslin or his dismissal.
How much money is former NYS State Senator H Douglas Barclay going to pour into the campaign?

I want to know what the going rate is to own a NYS Senator? According to Wikipedia, over the years former New York State Senator H Douglas Barclay, the Barclay in Hiscok & Barclay has donated $215,000 to various Republican candidates, including $90,000 to the 2004 George W. Bush re-election campaign.
Apparently the going rate to own a US Ambassadorship is at least $90,000, because in 2003 former NYS State Senator H Douglas Barclay was named Ambassador to El Salvador!
So what does it take to own a Secretary of the Navy (Secretary of the Navy John Mc Hugh was hand picked (endorsed) by then State Senator H Douglas Barclay as the Senators replacement!
Or a former US Congressman to be a lobbyist (Former US Congressman Mike Mc Nulty is now a lobbyist for Hiscock & Barclay).  
Or the price (and benefit) of keeping son Assemblyman William Barclay in the NYS Assembly

Who are we kidding or rather who is former State Senator H Douglas Barclay kidding? Douglas H. Hiscok of Hiscok & Barclay is 154 years old! Ownership of Hiscoc & Barclay is hard to determine, privately held and layered, the principals within the various offices are not former US Ambassador to El Salvador H Douglas Barclay or either of his 2 sons, David, listed as a partner in the firm and State Assemblyman William Barclay, also listed as a partner.
H Douglas Barclay retired from the firm in 2003 after becoming Ambassador. This too, I think a charade! Show me the money! Without disclosure from Hiscoc & Barclay, I would be willing to bet H Douglas's interest in the firm passed not to the (non-family) partners in the firm, but a paper transfer to sons Attorney David Barclay and Attorney Assemblyman William.
Former State Senator H Douglas Barclay is still pulling the strings and owns at least 1 State Assembly seat and Senate seat!
Tell me a conflict of interest doesn't exist in State Senator Neil Breslin (or any of the other State Senators or Assemblyman practicing NYS Law while in office.)

Tell me this isn't going to spill over into the Neil Breslin Campaign!

 

Arthur Welser
"Making America #1 in Education"
http://www.arthurwelsercitizen...


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