The sole source for this gossip piece tells Page Six that Senor:
seems to think he has the senatorial mojo and will get the endorsements of big names like Newt Gingrich and Rudy Giuliani.
Endorsements by "big name" GOP serial-adulterer has-beens will have little impact on NY voters.
Senor is playing coy for now, e-mailing Page Six:
I have not had discussions with anyone because I have no plans to run.
Which would make some political sense, since Senor has no political base in NY, and he knows that Democratic turnout will be much higher in a presidential year.
Even in this low-Dem-turnout, GOP-wave year, Gillibrand won her first statewide election earlier by 25 points against a conservative/tea party type.
Senor ran a brief, NYC-media-promoted campaign for the GOP nod to challenge Gillibrand this year, before he evidently recognized that he had no chance, even in what looked like a good year for Republicans.
When he polled, he probably found out that lying about the Iraq War, the only thing anyone paying attention knows about him, was not something that endeared him to NY voters.
Should he run in 2012, Senor will face a primary that will probably include Mayor Bloomberg's girlfriend, a tea partier, and maybe an ambitious Member of Congress.
Odds are he would not win such a primary.
Whoever does will landslide-lose to Gillibrand, who has an excellent record as Senator and is, according to Chris Cillizza, "quite simply, one of the most dogged campaigners in elected office -- anywhere."
Progressive voting record, leadership on DADT and children's health, assiduous constituent service, diligence in representing every part of the state, etc. -- Gillibrand has done a great job as our Senator.
NY voters will recognize that, and re-elect her in 2012 as handily as they elected her this year. |
