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What NY-9 Teaches Us About Independent Redistricting

by: BingChester

Fri Sep 16, 2011 at 14:02:06 PM EDT


There's an obvious and a less obvious lesson to be learned from NY-9 about independent, non-partisan redistrict.  And it's worth learning.

Of course the obvious lesson is that the politics of legislature controlled redistricting leads to stupid gamesmanship.  I still don't think Weprin was a bad candidate on paper, but I also tend to agree that Rory Lancman would have been a better candidate.  Lancman never had a chance though, because Joe Crowley and New York Democrats in general needed a sacrifical lamb who could compete in the district and then ride into the night as NY-9 was dismantled by the map makers.  Weprin fit the bill.

This is only a problem when politicians draw the districts.  Independent, non-partisan redistricting doesn't take into account factors like seniority or which district is easier to cut.  Independent redistricting would draw 27 districts on the basis of geography, continguity, compactness, VRA concerns, and a host of other factors other than cushiness for incumbents.  And so if we had independent redistricting in the first place, the entire paradigm would have been different.

The less obvious lesson is just as, if not more important.  I couldn't help but notice a lot of bloggers commenting on the string of special election losses by members of the Assembly.  Weprin, Corwin, Scozzafava, and Tedisco.  This led some to conclude that people who go to Albany and work in the Assembly can't win Congressional races.  Let's forget that a whole heck of a lot of current and former Congressional members are former members of the Assembly.  The fact that these four recent losers were all members of the Assembly isn't causation but it is correlation.

The better response about these four is that none of them had ever won a competitive campaign before.  Their experience at real campaigning necessary to win tough special elections was non-existent.  Weprin may have run for City Comptroller, but he did so poorly and unsuccessfully.  All four of them simply weren't equipped for the rigors of a time-crunch competitive campaign.

And part of the reason is because their districts are gerrymandered to be uncompetitive, like almost every district in the state.  

If we had real competitive districts, which we're more likely to get from independent redistricting,  then candidates would actually earn their victories from the voters.  That would give us politicians who understand how to talk to voters and better represent themselves and their constituents.  And for our purposes, it would give us better candidates equipped to run for higher office, as opposed to people like David Weprin (i.e. nice guys and decent legislators but ill-equipped to run and win a serious, competitive campaign).

Mark down another notch in the belt of independent redistricting; better candidates, better legislators, heck, it's just better democracy.

BingChester :: What NY-9 Teaches Us About Independent Redistricting
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Interesting point (0.00 / 0)
Paul Tonko was an Assemblyman in the 105th, had a brief time at NYSERDA and then ran successfully for Congress to replace Mike McNulty in 2008. While his assembly campaigns were not particularly competitive his district was in fact competitive as evidenced by a Republican winning the seat after Tonko left.

Is there a difference...? (0.00 / 0)
Is there a material difference between regular and special elections? The four losers you named were all special election losers.

That's not meant to put a damper on your general point that almost all Assembly races (and, most likely, state Senate races) are noncompetitive. But with roughly one-third of the Assembly having been selected rather than elected (including David Weprin), it does put them at a disadvantage when running for higher office.


I agree that the losing Assembly candidates do not know how to (4.00 / 1)
win a competitive election as they run opposed for most of their career and there is an overconfidence of gerrymandered districts. The candidates need to campaign on ISSUES, not stare at the voter registration figures.

NYS needs primaries to select candidates for specials and ballot access reform ( pay a filing fee or get petitions) for both special and general elections.

I recall that in 2002 Louisiana had a runoff Senate and House race after the November elections. The seat in the House was an open Republican district and was lost to the Democrat, as a few days before the election news stories about changes in federal sugar policies by the Bush Administration that would adversely affect farmers in the district were published/reported. Voters took their unhappiness out on the Republicans.  


The problem with running on issues (4.00 / 1)
The Assembly is a place where few, if any, members can make a name for themselves, because the Speaker runs the show. As a result, members can't really run on their records because they have no records to run on.

Another example of how (in this case) Sheldon Silver is bad for the Democratic Party.


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