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NY-19: Greg Ball Is Out

by: phillip anderson

Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 15:08:02 PM EST


Strike Three!

Freshman Assemblyman Greg Ball has announced that he will not challenge Freshman Rep. John Hall in next year's race for the 19th Congressional seat. At this point, it looks as if the GOP may be stuck with Kieran Michael Lalor's long shot run at the seat. Will the race for NY-19 be a snooze? It's sure starting to look that way.

Carmel assemblyman says he won't run for Congress in '08

Freshman state Assemblyman Greg Ball will run for re-election in 2008 and not for Congress, as he had speculated during the past few weeks.

Ball, who defeated longtime Republican Assemblyman Willis Stephens in a primary last year and then went on to best Democrat Ken Harper in the November election, wants another two-year term in Albany.

"A little over a year ago I was elected in a grassroots upset that sent a clear message to the good old boys in Albany and back home. Since my election victory, we have made extraordinary progress by elevating the debate on tough issues like taxes, illegal immigration and dysfunction in Albany. On all of these fronts, and more, we are making a substantial difference and I absolutely love being the assemblyman," said Ball, R-Carmel, in a statement.

Ball had considered running for New York's 19th Congressional District seat, which is currently held by U.S. Rep. John Hall, D-Dover Plains. He even traveled to Washington shortly before Christmas to meet with the National Republican Congressional Committee.

Ball didn't immediately return a telephone call seeking further comment.

So far, Kieran Michael Lalor of Peekskill is the only Republican to announce a bid against Hall.

I've always thought that Hall holds this seat no matter who the GOP decided to run. Now his seat looks like a pretty solid keeper.

phillip anderson :: NY-19: Greg Ball Is Out
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It's just... (4.00 / 2)
so hard to believe that they are giving up on this race...

The activist movement... Take19...  all of those people worrying and caring about the future of the district and we aren't going to get a worthy challanger?

I mean it's really not going to be very difficult to post some KML quotes and show how crazed he is...

oh well, local races focus on I will.

-- MrMacMan


Perhaps They're Banking On (4.00 / 1)
making their big play for the seat in 2010, when they believe they might have two very strong advantages:

1)  A general backlash against Democrats in Washington because of all the blame the Republicans will heap on them for not solving every problem facing the country in the first year and change of a Democratic presidency.  This backlash could be even more fierce than what we saw in 1994 because there will likely be more than a few online liberal activists who will denounce the Dems just as strongly for their fecklessness.

2)  A highly competitive race against a Governor Spitzer who was never able to recover his momentum.  A potentially strong Republican running at the top of their ticket could carry over some momentum into Congressional races.

Now, it's entirely possible that either or both of these scenarios could fail to occur, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if the state GOP has determined that 2008 is simply a bad year for them to try to go on the offensive.


Agreed (4.00 / 1)
I originally was very worried about this seat.  This district, like the 20th, is a somewhat conservative one, with more registered Republicans than Democrats.  However, whereas Gillibrand is a Blue Dog Democrat, Hall is a clear progressive.  I thought that would hurt him substantially in an upcoming election, and I thought this was going to be a seat we needed to fight to keep.  Luckily, thus far, that doesn't seem to be the case.  The GOP seems unable to find a substantive candidate to back.  Hopefully, this current situation continues and Hall doesn't have to use anywhere near his entire war chest to win.  

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