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This belongs to you. Take it back...
Kirsten Gillibrand 
Fri Oct 08, 2010 at 08:43:00 AM EDT
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The new Q Poll out this morning shows Dems in statewide races surging, especially Senator Gillibrand and AG candidate Schneiderman.
October 8, 2010 - Despite Anger At D.C., Dems Lead In All New York Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Women Propel Gillibrand To Double-Digit Lead
Democrats are surging in all New York statewide races as little-known Republican candidates struggle for name recognition, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops the magic 50 percent mark, leading Republican challenger Joseph DioGuardi 55 - 34 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent Gillibrand lead in a September 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Gillibrand leads 59 - 28 percent among women and 51 - 39 percent among men.
....
New York State likely voters approve 52 - 34 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 49 - 24 percent favorability rating.
Gillibrand held just a 6 point lead in the Q Poll released on September 23rd.
Eric Schneiderman was in a dead heat (36%-37%) with Staten Island DA Dan Donovan in that September Poll. Now he's opening up a significant lead.
In the closest statewide race in New York, the race for State Attorney General, New York State likely voters back Democratic State Sen. Eric Schneiderman 43 - 32 percent over Staten Island District Attorney Dan Donovan. But 24 percent of voters are undecided and 39 percent of those who select a candidate say they might change their mind by Election Day.
Neither candidate is well known: 75 percent of voters don't know enough about Schneiderman to form an opinion and 85 percent don't know enough about Donovan.
Neither of the candidates has decent name recognition, but things are definitely moving Schneiderman's way.
In other news from the poll, Chuck Schumer is crushing GOoPer Jay Townsend and Tom DiNapoli has opened up an 18 pt lead on whoever that guy is he's running against.
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Tue Oct 05, 2010 at 14:30:31 PM EDT
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Original @ Daily Kos
teabagger [noun], [definition]
A whining fool shouting loudly for liberty but not willing to pay the bill.
- Urban Dictionary
The New York Senate race was a lot more fun when we still had Harold Ford to kick around. Today, unfortunately, we have to make do with reactionary dick Joe DioGuardi, going up against Netroots All-Star Kirsten Gillibrand.
But as it turns out, republic/tea party candidate Joe has a lot of potential for would-be mockers. Like all of his ilk, Joe is a big tax-cutter. What we're learning now is that he made his own tax cut by simply not paying them.
Regrettably, the Internal Revenue Service doesn't really like that.
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Thu Sep 30, 2010 at 19:27:59 PM EDT
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Two weeks ago, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand found out who her Republican opponent will be -- former Rep. Joe DioGuardi of Westchester.
Though DioGuardi is largely unknown, and has been out of office for 20 years, the first two polls out showed that he was within single digits of Gillibrand -- SUSA had it 44-43, and Quinnipiac had it 48-42.
While the Murdoch NY Post, their GOP confederates, and DioGuardi loved those polls, subsequent polls from Siena and Marist found double-digit margins -- up by 24 in the Siena poll of registered voters, and by 11 in the Marist poll of likely voters.
What these numbers probably mean, below.
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Wed Sep 29, 2010 at 17:35:29 PM EDT
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If you're a New Yorker and have, or are, a mother, daughter, or sister, the U.S. Senate race needs your attention.
This because one of the candidates has a significant problem with the right of women, as determined by the Supreme Court in Roe v. Wade and simple common sense, to determine whether or not to carry even a life-threatening pregnancy to term.
Needless to say, the candidate in question is a tea partier (and lobbyist, but that's gravy), former Representative Joe DioGuardi. Murdoch rag The New York Post:
Joe DioGuardi, a committed conservative with a fine record in Congress, offers an alternative that voters will find attractive. He's hampered by limited name recognition, likely still in the mid 30s.
What the Post leaves out, presumably because they know they're a deal-breaker in blue New York, are DioGuardi's troglodyte views on abortion rights even in cases of rape and incest.
(Original @ Daily Kos)
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Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 08:29:00 AM EDT
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Two new polls out this morning show a much tighter race than I think most folks expected between Kirsten Gillibrand and the guy the GOP nominated to lose to her, Joe DioGuardi.
First up, this SUSA poll shows them in a dead heat with Gillibrand holding a one point 44-43 lead. The poll shows her crushing in NYC and holding her own in WNY, but significantly behind upstate and in the 'burbs.
And here's your head scratcher of the morning. SUSA shows Gillibrand losing badly (28-65) among 18-34 year olds (Idolaters?) but spanking DioGuardi (56-32) with the 65+ crowd.
This morning's Q poll has better news for Gillibrand, though they still show a close race.
In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops Republican Joseph DioGuardi 48 - 42 percent.
Sen. Gillibrand leads 86 - 9 percent among Democrats while DioGuardi leads 88 - 8 percent among Republicans. Independent voters split with 42 percent for DioGuardi and 41 percent for Gillibrand.
New York State voters approve 49 - 37 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 43 - 32 percent favorability rating. For DioGuardi, 61 percent haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion.
Never a good sign when an incumbent is below 50%, but I'd like to see a third poll this race before I get too concerned.
UPDATE: And speak of the devil, more polls on the way:
Very Different Poll Results in New York
A forthcoming Siena poll in New York finds Andrew Cuomo (D) leading the race for governor by 33 points and Sen. Kristen Gillibrand (D) leading her U.S. Senate race by 24 points -- very different from the latest Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA polls that show much closes races.
Two things to keep in mind: The Siena poll tests registered voters, not likely voters. And in the race for governor, the poll includes Rick Lazio as the Conservative Party candidate, even though he's not yet announced if he'll stay on the ballot.
For comparison, a Marist Poll in New York will be out tomorrow.
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Wed Sep 08, 2010 at 14:59:29 PM EDT
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"Kerplunk".
When you hear that sound, odds are that Kirsten Gillibrand has just felled another opponent. That's become as regular as the tides or barbecue on Labor Day.
She's been aided in that spotless record by the obvious fact that supposed political giants have all turned out to be pygmies. I'm thinking most fondly of Harold "Smelly Feet" Ford, Jr. His implosion, prodded in large part by the LGBT community and the blogosphere - including, with modesty, yours truly - was one for the ages.
Now comes the second round, the general. There's still a primary, next Tuesday, in which the Senator faces an by all accounts amiable, but largely unknown, opponent.
Gillibrand's first strike against her republican tea party opponents - it's unclear who's going to get the kiss of death - is a devastating web ad. You can see that in all its ass-kicking glory over the fold.
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Fri Jun 04, 2010 at 21:48:50 PM EDT
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Ever since Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, instead of Caroline Kennedy, the favorite of NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg and New York Times publisher Pinch Sulzberger, was appointed to replace Hillary Clinton, Bloomberg and Sulzberger have promoted various challengers to Gillibrand, most obviously Tennessee Harold Ford.
Despite the best efforts of the richest and most politically powerful person in the city and the silver-spoon publisher of the nation's most important newspaper, no Democrat is challenging Gillibrand in the primary, and the three Republican/Conservative challengers are third-rate nobodies who cannot win in November.
But oligarchs never give up wanting more power and/or revenge, as is clear from a Bloomberg/Sulzberger story in the Times today, about what a wonderful Senate candidate Bloomberg's girlfriend Diana Taylor would be against Gillibrand in 2012.
Details, below.
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Tue May 25, 2010 at 17:55:52 PM EDT
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The latest Siena poll of NY-Sen finds that Senator Kirsten Gillibrand has her highest favorability ratings, for that poll, and that she's above 50 percent against the three announced GOP candidates, also for the first time.
Her favorability number is 42, up from 34 in April.
Gillibrand's solid voting record, plus her leadership on issues like DADT and children's health and safety, is impressing more New Yorkers every month.
More numbers, below.
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Fri May 14, 2010 at 18:35:28 PM EDT
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When discussing presidential tours, Buffalo, New York is not a place that often makes the list. Maybe it's the fact that McKinley's trip to Buffalo ended up with Teddy Roosevelt getting sworn in to office, but really, that wasn't western New York's fault. Or it could be the fact that Buffalo doesn't have either the pull of powerful cities like NYC and LA, nor the heartland credibility of stopping in Missouri or Ohio.
Whatever the reason, with only one previous POTUS visit to Buffalo in the last decade, President Obama's decision to make a short stop here caused quite a bit of stir, and brought out media from all sorts of outlets this side of the Finger Lakes.
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Mon May 03, 2010 at 10:34:05 AM EDT
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As many of you are probably aware, last weekend was the annual Democratic Rural Conference, which brings together Democratic activists and party members from New York's 47 rural counties, along with state and local elected officials at the highest level, for 24 hours of networking, free booze, popularity contests, and inadequate air conditioning. This is my report on the 2010 DRC.
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Mon Apr 19, 2010 at 15:50:46 PM EDT
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Though Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's path to election seems to grow easier by the day, she is still working hard to meet her constituents.
Saturday, she sponsored a reception at the annual Somos Conference of Hispanic and Puerto Rican state legislators at the Crowne Plaza in Albany.
After being introduced by Assemblyman Felix Ortiz, Gillibrand spoke briefly to a couple hundred people.
Quote, below.
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Tue Apr 13, 2010 at 20:14:19 PM EDT
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Ex-Governor George Pataki, the only potential GOP challenger to incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand who polled anywhere near competitiveness, has decided to do what all the other the other folks looking to take her on have done, namely, take a pass. The WSJ says Curious George ain't so curious anymore. Instead, he'll be trying to court teabaggers with an effort to repeal the recently passed health care reforms.
Pataki Declines to Join New York Senate Race
Former New York Republican Gov. George E. Pataki has decided not to mount an election challenge against Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand this fall.
Instead, he said in an interview Tuesday that he would create a new national organization aimed at building support to repeal the recently enacted health-care overhaul.
Mr. Pataki's decision to bypass the Senate race marks another major coup for Ms. Gillibrand, who has been enormously successful in knocking out competition on both sides of the aisle despite appearing to be vulnerable politically.
It seems that ol' Georgie still has presidential ambitions (for reals) and that he, the very dictionary definition of middle of the road northeast Republican, plans to try harness the teabagger wave of stoopid all the way to DC.
Best of luck with that, Georgie.
That said, it looks as if the GOP's last best hope of mounting a credible challenge to Gillibrand just decided better of that idea.
Oh, and can we finally dispose of the idea that Senator Gillibrand is "vulnerable politically?" If she truly is, her potential opponents, both Democratic and Republican, have a damn funny way of showing it.
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Tue Apr 13, 2010 at 17:30:01 PM EDT
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The latest Quinnipiac poll of NY-Sen finds that Senator Kirsten Gillibrand has her highest approval and favorability ratings, for that poll.
Her approval number is 47, up from 32 in October, and her favorability number is 37, up from 26 in December.
More numbers, and some thoughts, below.
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Sat Apr 03, 2010 at 19:07:45 PM EDT
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The New York Times has never liked Senator Kirsten Gillibrand much, presumably because she was not the favorite of Pinch Sulzberger and Mike Bloomberg for the appointment.
The Times promoted a series of potential Gillibrand challengers -- Harold Ford most obviously, Dan Senor most recently -- and yesterday published a story on its front page with this headline, "Question Remains: What Makes Gillibrand Scary to Rivals?"
Ray Hernandez makes some good points about Gillibrand's inherent political strengths, but also gets in some digs (beyond the weird "scary" in the headline and the story), including an incredible quote by sore-loser Joe Trippi.
Details, below.
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Thu Apr 01, 2010 at 19:12:35 PM EDT
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I had the good fortune to be in the presence of my US Senator last night. Granted, access costs, I did pay for the privilege, but it was a merely $25. It was an outreach fundraising effort to an enthusiastic crowd of (mostly) young New York Democrats. It appeared to be quite successful and for me, it was well worth the price. This grassroots fundraiser was Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's nascent re-election campaign and was held in Manhattan's Upper East Side, at a party club space known as Branch.
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Wed Mar 24, 2010 at 14:23:35 PM EDT
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According to Liz Benjamin, former Bush-war-flack Dan Senor has decided not to challenge Senator Kirsten Gillibrand this year.
Senor had been on an informal, though well-publicized campaign trail for about two weeks, after GOP bigwigs like Rudy Giuliani and Sen. John Cornyn encouraged him to get in.
Now he won't, due to the usual family and business considerations.
Details, below.
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Wed Mar 24, 2010 at 13:12:07 PM EDT
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Shocking, I know.
Senor Won't Run Against Gillibrand
In a sudden about-face, Dan Senor, who has been putting the pieces in place for a campaign against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, has just become the latest Republican to take a pass on challenging the Democratic junior senator.
Senor cited his family (his run would likely complicate things for his wife, CNN's Campbell Brown) and "business life" as the driving factors behind his decision.
His decision is a surprise, however. He was at the Monday Meeting just three days ago. There were reports that state GOP leaders wanted him to reconsider and challenge Sen. Chuck Schumer instead of Gillibrand - a move in which he showed no interest.
In recent weeks, Senor has been talking to New York and Washington, D.C consultants about a likely campaign and sources insisted he would announce this week - perhaps as early as today.
OK. Anyone else? Last Call!
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Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 21:00:19 PM EDT
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According to Liz Benjamin, former Bush-war-flack Dan Senor will be granted an audience at the March 22 Monday Meeting, a monthly gathering of a few hundred rich wingnuts, mostly from Wall Street.
Senor is the all-but-declared Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in New York, challenging the excellent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand.
Though his serial lying as chief spokesman for the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq in 2003-04 would seem to disqualify him for any elected office, Senor has been welcomed by the GOP establishment as better than the other potential candidates.
One sure sign of that is an invitation to the Monday Meeting, which New York magazine described in 2005 as "The ATM for Bush's America."
More on Senor and the usual suspects, below.
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