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Quinnipiac University 
Wed Jun 24, 2009 at 01:22:18 AM EDT
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Good stuff:
New York State voters support 51 - 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided, a law allowing same-sex couples to marry, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This is the first poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing support for same-sex marriage in New York State, where voters split 46 - 46 percent on this issue in a May 14 survey and opposed same-sex marriage 55 - 37 percent in an April 15, 2004, poll.
In this latest survey, women support same-sex marriage 58 - 35 percent, while men oppose it by a narrow 48 - 44 percent margin. Same-sex marriage wins 65 - 28 percent from Democrats and 52 - 42 percent from independent voters, while Republicans oppose it 66 - 27 percent. The proposal wins 52 - 42 percent support from white voters and 55 - 39 percent from Hispanics. Black voters split with 43 percent in favor and 42 percent opposed.
Hispanics are actually the ethnic group most in favor of marriage equality in this poll.
I guess Sen. Diaz likes to pull numbers out of his ass as much as he likes being a bigot:
Statement By NYS Senator Rev. Ruben Diaz (D-Bronx) On Today's Assembly Vote For Homosexual Marriage
Posted by Ruben Diaz on Tuesday, June 19th, 2007
As a legislator of Hispanic origin, today I am very disappointed with those members of the Hispanic delegation in the State Assembly for supporting homosexual marriage in New York.
It is sad that the Hispanic legislators in the NYS Assembly will vote in favor of homosexual marriage today. Our community as a whole, Black, White, Asian, Islamic and Hispanic is at least 80% against homosexual marriage. Most New Yorkers are from communities that believes in moral, traditional and family values.
(all bolds mine)
Support for marriage equality was probably lower among all groups when Diaz made this statement 2 years ago, but unlikely that low. Not that facts matter when you're dealing with an irrational bigot who hides behind his ethnicity to mask his bogotry, but if Ruben Diaz's gut says that 80% of Hispanics oppose marriage equality, it must be true!
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Mon Apr 06, 2009 at 09:51:38 AM EDT
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The news just keeps getting worse for Governor Paterson. A new Q Poll shows that he now has the highest job disapproval ever recorded for a New York Governor and that more than half of New Yorkers think he shouldn't even run for a full term next year. The poll also shows stellar numbers for Attorney General Ancrew Cuomo and Paterson losing badly to Rudy Giuliani in a general election. Even a majority of Democrats say he should hang it up. Ouch.
Voters Say 3-1 Paterson Does Not Deserve Election, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Say He Should Announce Now He Won't Run
New York State voters disapprove 60 - 28 percent of the job Gov. David Paterson is doing, the lowest approval ever for a New York Governor, and say 63 - 22 percent that he does not deserve to be elected to a full four-year term, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Gov. Paterson's approval is so low that he should announce now that he won't run for election to a four-year term next year, 53 percent of voters tell the independent Quinnipiac University poll, while 39 percent say he can restore his reputation and should run next year. Even Democrats say 49 - 45 percent that he should drop out of the race now.
New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, with a near-record high 75 - 14 percent approval rating, tops Paterson in a Democratic primary 61 - 18 percent.
In a general election, Republican Rudolph Giuliani, the former New York City mayor, tops Paterson 53 - 32 percent.
Cuomo tops Giuliani 53 - 36 percent in a head-to-head matchup.
Voters disapprove 70 - 19 percent of the way Paterson is handling the New York State budget. Democrats disapprove 63 - 25 percent.
"So long, David, voters tell Gov. Paterson. His job approval tanks at 28 percent. The slide started with the Caroline Kennedy flap and deepened with the humongous state budget passed last week. The budget was an opportunity for Paterson to reverse his slide, but voters disapprove almost 4-1 of the way he handled it," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Don't wait for 2010, Governor, New Yorkers say. Announce now that you won't run. Voters say almost 3-1 Paterson doesn't deserve a full 4-year term."
Voters aren't the only ones sending Paterson a message either. Liz reports that top Dem donors are telling the Governor privately that he'd better turn his numbers around quick, November at the latest, or he should forget about a 2010 run for a full term.
Top New York Democrats have privately set a deadline of early November for Gov. Paterson to turn his poll numbers around or they'll urge him not to run next year.
"The idea is to let him get through the budget and get through the summer," said a prominent Democratic donor who sees the fall elections as the cutoff for Paterson's improvement.
"Nobody really wants to go to a sitting Democratic governor who's African-American and say, 'Hey. You're a disgrace. Get out.'"
Paterson allies hold out hope he'll be able to mount a timely comeback, but admit his historically low job approval rating - a March Siena poll pegged it at 19% - presents a significant challenge.
"Even if he went up 100%, it wouldn't be much," the donor said. "The goal is to be close to 50, but I think if he could climb over 40%, he can begin to show real momentum."
I'm sure that Rudy Giuliani hopes that the Governor is able to make something of a comeback, at least enough of one to make a credible run and scare off any potential Dem primary challengers. Smelling blood in the water, Giuliani is once again hitting the GOP fundraising circuit and making noises about a run for Governor. (He could use a new gig as his firm, Giuliani Partners, is tanking) Giuliani would be crushed in a general election against Cuomo, but could most likely beat soundly a mortally wounded Paterson. Rudy's only real shot at the Governor's mansion is keeping Paterson on the ballot.
Given this, it shouldn't surprise anyone that a majority of New Yorkers seem to want Paterson to hang it up.
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Wed Jan 14, 2009 at 11:02:01 AM EST
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Quinnipiac University released its latest poll today that shows Andrew Cuomo still leads among the top contenders for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Secretary of State nominee Hillary Clinton.
New York State voters have cooled on Caroline Kennedy and more voters now prefer State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo 31 - 24 percent for Hillary Clinton's U.S. Senate seat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney gets 6 percent, with 5 percent for U.S. Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand, 2 percent for U.S. Rep. Steve Israel, 18 percent for someone else and 14 percent undecided.
Still, voters say 38 - 33 percent that Gov. David Paterson will appoint Ms. Kennedy to the U.S. Senate.
Cuomo leads Kennedy 31 - 20 percent among upstate voters and 36 - 22 percent in the suburbs, while Kennedy gets 31 percent of New York City voters to Cuomo's 29 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Men back Cuomo 32 - 23 percent while women back him 31 - 25 percent.
New York State voters say 48 - 37 percent that Kennedy is not qualified to be a U.S. Senator and 40 - 37 percent that she would not be a good Senator. Democrats say 47 - 35 percent that she is qualified, while Republicans say 65 - 24 percent that she is not qualified. Independent voters say 51 - 34 percent that she is not qualified.
Maurice Carroll, the director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, summed up this situation best:
"There's only one New Yorker whose opinion counts, of course, Gov. David Paterson. And a plurality of the rest of us still think that Paterson will pick Kennedy. So far, at least, Reps. Gillibrand, Maloney and Israel have no more than local recognition. All three get just a smattering of support."
Carroll is right: The only opinion that counts in this process is Governor Paterson. That is why the process needs to be open.
Aside from Cuomo and Kennedy, I don't think that Gillibrand, Israel and Maloney should be counted out because of their local support. All three have strong cases to make. There is still a good chance that either of those three (or someone else) could be appointed to fill the U.S. Senate seat.
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Mon Dec 17, 2007 at 07:53:26 AM EST
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Though he still leads all other Republicans by a wide margin, that gap is shrinking for Rudy Giuiani. The biggest benefactor of Rudy's slide appears to be Mike Huckabee. Oh, and residents of New York City really don't like our former Mayor all that much according to a new Quinnipiac University poll out this morning.
Giuliani's Republican Lead Shrinks As Huckabee Surges Quinnipiac University Poll Finds
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's lead in the New York State Republican presidential primary is shrinking as he gets 34 percent to former Arizona Gov. Mike Huckabee's 12 percent, with 11 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain, 7 percent for former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson and 5 percent each for Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Texas Congressman Ron Paul, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This is down from a 45 - 12 percent Giuliani lead over Thompson in an October 17 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, when Huckabee had 1 percent.
In the Democratic primary, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 55 - 17 percent, with 7 percent for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards. This compares to a 49 - 12 percent Clinton lead October 17.
In a head-to-head presidential matchup, Sen. Clinton tops Mayor Giuliani 53 - 32 percent, compared to 50 - 36 percent October 17.
"Mayor Giuliani is on top of the Republican field, but losing some steam. In the ever- changing race for second place in the GOP pack, Gov. Mike Huckabee is the lead dog, by a nose, this week," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"The former New York City mayor gets a split 41 - 40 percent favorability rating in the state, and a negative 38 - 51 percent score in the city."
"Sen. Clinton ends this 2007 pre-campaign year in a very good place in New York, over 50 percent in both the Democratic primary race and the general election face-off with Giuliani."
Clinton gets a 53 - 34 percent favorability rating from New York State voters, including 59 - 28 percent in New York City.
A former Baptist preacher from Arkansas surging in NY? Who'd have thought?
Quick question. Who is going to be the Republican nominee for president? I honestly have no idea.
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Wed Dec 12, 2007 at 09:23:04 AM EST
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The folks at the Polling Institute at Quinnipiac University send an email heads up the day before they release a poll. These tell the recipient what the subject of the poll is and preview whatever clever question they are working into it. The director of the Polling Institute, Maurice Carroll, fancies himself something of a comedian and loves to work in meaningless questions that are meant to show his wit much more than they provide any enlightening data. By the end of the poll, Maurice is just making stuff up.
When I got the heads up on today's poll yesterday afternoon, I winced. The headline read, "QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY RELEASES NEW YORK STATE POLL RESULTS ON SPITZER APPROVAL, KINDER, GENTLER GOVERNOR." Ah, yes. It's the holidays. Here come the meaningless Scrooge analogies. They're thick in this morning's release.
First off, the news for Eliot Spitzer isn't good. This is the second poll this week showing the Governor with all time low job approval numbers. It seems that the drivers license fallout continues to linger.
New York State voters disapprove 48 - 37 percent of the job Gov. Eliot Spitzer is doing, giving him his first negative rating and the lowest marks of his first year in office, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to Gov. Spitzer's previous low, a 47 - 34 percent approval in an October 2 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University, just as the controversy began over the Governor's proposal to provide driver's licenses to illegal immigrants.
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New York State voters disapprove 62 - 21 percent of Spitzer's handling of immigration issues. Even Democrats disapprove 51 - 28 percent.
"When will it end? First Troopergate. Then driver's licenses for illegal immigrants. It's been a lousy run for Gov. Spitzer. His job approval has gone down, down, down - and for the first time, more voters disapprove," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
And now for the meaningless fluff.
"But many New Yorkers, perhaps in the holiday spirit, hope Eliot Spitzer can be just like Ebenezer Scrooge and become a kinder, gentler governor. They think the poisonous relationship between Spitzer and the State Legislature can get better. Most of his fellow Democrats think so. Republicans aren't sure. But at least they're not saying, 'Bah Humbug!'"
Quinnipiac actually asked this question:
Do you believe that Eliot Spitzer can become a kinder, gentler governor in dealing with the legislature?
The answer to that question, Bruno's numbers and a bizarre quote about marriage equality on the flip...
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Thu Apr 05, 2007 at 09:20:51 AM EDT
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We're told that moving our presidential primary up to February 5th will make New York relevant to the the selection of our next President, that candidates will be forced to actually campaign for once instead of just dropping into Manhattan to pick up checks. Hooey. I think we all know that moving up our primary date is being done to give a boost to Hillary and Rudy. Now there really can't be much doubt that the chances of serious competition for the Empire State's delegates looks to be less and less likely. New York is an obscenely expensive media market to play in and with all the other states casting votes on the same day, why commit so many resources to a state that looks to be pretty solidly locked up 10 months ahead of time?
According to a new Quinnipiac University poll out this morning, Hillary and Rudy crush all competition here in New York. It's not even close. Oh, and isn't it great that Obama raised all that money from all those people? Not so much here in New York. Obama is tied for second with a guy who isn't even running, one Former Vice President from Tennessee.
Clinton, Giuliani Hold Big Leads In New York State, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gore Catches Obama In Democratic Primary Race
Sen. Hillary Clinton and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani are the pick of their parties in New York State where Sen. Clinton leads Mayor Giuliani 50 - 42 percent in the 2008 presidential campaign, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Clinton tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 55 - 34 percent.
More on the flip...
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Wed Apr 04, 2007 at 11:15:54 AM EDT
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Quinnipiac University released the first major post budget poll of New Yorkers this morning and the results are about what you'd think. Governor Spitzer has taken something of a hit and Joe Bruno still dwells in the basement of public approval. Sheldon Silver isn't doing all that much better and the Legislature as a whole isn't particularly popular.
New York Voters Say 'Steamroller' Has Sputtered, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Say State Budget Deal Was Too Costly
New York State voters give Gov. Eliot Spitzer a 48 - 27 percent approval rating, with 25 percent undecided, and say 47 - 36 percent that his "Steamroller Style" is good for the people, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
These numbers are down from a 61 - 11 percent approval for Gov. Spitzer in a February 13 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, when voters said 61 - 24 percent that the "Steamroller Style" was good for the people.
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"There's nothing like a knock-down, drag-out New York State budget battle to take the steam out of even the most vigorous steamroller. Budget stories dominated the media and Gov. Eliot Spitzer's job approval numbers sagged, " said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "On the budget, did Gov. Spitzer cave or win a 'fair compromise?' Slightly more voters say he gave away too much."
MUCH more on the flip...
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Wed Mar 14, 2007 at 13:59:45 PM EDT
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Rudy may be by now considered a for real frontrunner for the GOP presidential nomination (I know, I don't get it either), but voters in New York City prefer the current Mayor to the old by a large margin according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University. New Yorkers feel that Bloomberg would be a better President than Rudy by a spread of 46 - 31. That's gotta hurt.
Bumpy Bus Ride And Snowstorm Don't Slow Mayor, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Say Bloomberg Would Be Better Pres Than Rudy
New York City voters disapprove of the way Mayor Michael Bloomberg handled the school bus scheduling change and the Valentine's Day snowstorm, but still give him a near-record high 73 - 19 percent overall approval rating, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
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In other findings, New York City voters: * Disapprove 62 - 12 of the Mayor's handling of the school bus schedule change;
* Disapprove 49 - 38 percent of Bloomberg's handling of the Valentine's Day snowstorm;
* Feel 58 - 35 percent that the Mayor cares about their needs and problems;
* Say 46 - 16 percent that Bloomberg is a better mayor than Rudolph Giuliani, with 34 percent who say both are the same;
* Say 46 - 31 percent that Bloomberg would make a better President than Giuliani.
"America's Mayor, Rudolph Giuliani, doesn't score all that well where he really was the mayor. New Yorkers think Bloomberg is a better mayor than Giuliani and - how will this go over on the campaign trail? - that Bloomberg would be a better president," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"New Yorkers like you, Mayor Mike, even on your bad days. You live like a zillionaire, but they think you care about their needs and problems.
Here's an interesting question; how come I don't know any New Yorkers that love Bloomberg?
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