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A poll conducted for WGRZ-Channel 2 in Buffalo shows that Republican Chris Lee has a double-digit lead over Democratic candidate Alice Kryzan.
The poll includes the responses of 609 likely voters. Lee came in at 48 percent - 11 points higher than Kryzan, who currently sits at 37 percent.
This is how the poll breaks down, which also included Jon Powers, who is still on the Working Families Party line and Anthony Fumerelle, who was on the Independence Party line until the line was given to Lee when Fumerelle was nominated for a judgeship.
| 26th Congressional District Poll |
| CANDIDATE |
PERCENTAGE |
| Chris Lee (R) |
48% |
| Alice Kryzan (D) |
37% |
| Jon Powers (WF) |
5% |
| Anthony Fumerelle (I) |
3% |
| Undecided |
7% |
| 4.1% Margin of Error |
There are some other notable facts from the poll:
- Lee wins among men (52 percent to 34 percent) while also winning among women (44 percent to 39 percent).
- Lee wins across all age demographics, including the 18 to 34 demographic, where he is beating Kryzan 58 percent to 29 percent. Kryzan performed best in the 50 to 64 demographic, receiving 40 percent of the vote in that section. However, the 18 to 34 demographic only made up 16 percent of all respondents, proving once again that these polls don't factor in enough of the youth vote because of cell phones, among other reasons.
- Lee is winning independents (47 percent to 32 percent) and if you factor in the independents who are supporting Fumerelle (eight percent) that lead grows.
- For those that think Powers would play a spoiler, it looks like all those assumptions are off. In fact, if the independents who were for Fumerelle all go to Lee, Lee's numbers increase to 51 percent - a 14 point difference between Lee and Kryzan.
This poll counters a DCCC-backed poll from earlier this week that showed Kryzan up ten points. I will take SurveyUSA's word over the DCCC poll. Kryzan being up ten in this district was a little weird to me, but made for a great news story and a great way to raise money for her anyway. Nevertheless, there is a lot of work to do in this district.
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